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Tags: Pat Toomey

November 28, 2011 7:09 A.M.

Some Early, Early, Early Running Mate Thoughts

By Jim Geraghty

Comments

Over on the home page, I offer a “Part Two” of sorts to last week’s interview with Pennsylvania Sen. Pat Toomey, a look at his prospects to be the running . . .

Tags: Pat Toomey

November 23, 2011 9:15 A.M.

Sen. Pat Toomey’s Illuminating Proposal

By Jim Geraghty

Comments

Over on the home page, I have a chat with Sen. Pat Toomey, Pennsylvania Republican and member of the now-disbanded supercommittee. Toomey received a lot of grief over his proposal . . .

Tags: Pat Toomey

June 16, 2011 9:52 A.M.

His Selection Would Mean a Lot to You and Toomey

By Jim Geraghty

Comments

It’s way too early to think about running mate options for the Republican presidential nominee in 2012. And there is no shortage of good options for whoever ends up winning . . .

Tags: Pat Toomey

December 22, 2010 7:24 A.M.

Arlen Specter Avoids an Uncharacteristically Classy Exit

By Jim Geraghty

Comments

This morning’s edition is the last Morning Jolt of 2010 – a pleasant surprise for me from the editors, and hopefully not too unpleasant a surprise for you. Regular morning . . .

Tags: Arlen Specter, Pat Toomey

November 4, 2010 3:39 P.M.

Come to Think of It, It’s a Much Better Senate Now.

By Jim Geraghty

Comments

I like this assessment from Campaign Spot reader Mark: Maybe I’m making lemonade out of lemons, but if I look at the seats the Republicans won, I feel pretty good. Look . . .

Tags: Marco Rubio, Pat Toomey, Ron Johnson

November 2, 2010 10:23 P.M.

An Odd Split Between House and Senate Races at This Hour

By Jim Geraghty

Comments

What weird results at this hour. I’m hearing great nervousness about Toomey, which I would not have expected, yet the Republicans are doing quite well in the House races in Pennsylvania. A . . .

Tags: Mark Kirk, Pat Toomey

November 2, 2010 3:26 P.M.

Our First Glimpse of the Morning Vote in Pennsylvania . . .

By Jim Geraghty

Comments

Okay, I’m posting this with the insistence that everybody understand this for what it is: An exit poll, conducted by a college-associated polling institute (Muhlenberg), done from 7 a.m. to . . .

Tags: Joe Sestak, Pat Toomey

October 26, 2010 9:45 A.M.

Reason for Cautious Optimism in Pennsylvania

By Jim Geraghty

Comments

In yesterday’s Jolt, I told folks not to let their blood pressure rise as they watch tracking polls like the Morning Call’s ones in Pennsylvania. As Obi-Wan notes, in the . . .

Tags: Joe Sestak, Pat Toomey

October 21, 2010 2:41 P.M.

Today’s Target for Campaign Help: GOP Senate Candidates.

By Jim Geraghty

Comments

A Long Island reader writes in, “We really need some up-front and easy-to-follow links for contributing to the campaigns of folks like Joe Miller, Carly Fiorina, Sharron Angle, and Christine . . .

Tags: Carly Fiorina, Christine O'Donnell, Joe Miller, Pat Toomey, Sharron Angle

October 21, 2010 12:53 P.M.

Everyone Worried About Pat Toomey’s Lead Should Read This

By Jim Geraghty

Comments

For those who are worried about Pat Toomey’s sudden slip in the polls in Pennsylvania — and I was among them — you’ll want to read this analysis from “Number . . .

Tags: Joe Sestak, Pat Toomey, Tom Tancredo

October 21, 2010 7:00 A.M.

Quinnipiac: Toomey Only Leads by Two

By Jim Geraghty

Comments

Quinnipiac offers new numbers in Pennsylvania: The race for Pennsylvania’s U.S. Senate seat is now a statistical dead heat with Republican Pat Toomey getting 48 percent of likely voters to 46 . . .

Tags: Joe Sestak, Pat Toomey

October 20, 2010 7:37 A.M.

Bad News for Toomey, Good News for Portman

By Jim Geraghty

Comments

Panic! Panic! A second poll has Pat Toomey trailing in Pennsylvania! Democrat Sestak now leads Republican Toomey 44 percent to 41 percent with 15 percent undecided, a Morning Call/Muhlenberg College Tracker . . .

Tags: Joe Sestak, Lee Fisher, Pat Toomey, Rob Portman

October 19, 2010 10:01 A.M.

Are Pennsylvania Democrats Suddenly Waking Up?

By Jim Geraghty

Comments

The sample in the last poll in Pennsylvania from Public Policy Polling before today: 46 percent Democrat, 44 percent Republican, 9 percent independent/other. The sample in the new poll in Pennsylvania . . .

Tags: Joe Sestak, Pat Toomey

October 18, 2010 11:49 A.M.

Pennsylvania: The DSCC’s $9 Million Botched Investment

By Jim Geraghty

Comments

This is amazing: The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee has invested more than $4.7 million in the Keystone State to date, not including the nearly $1.2 million it spent on Sen. Arlen . . .

Tags: DSCC, Joe Sestak, Pat Toomey

October 1, 2010 9:41 A.M.

If You’re Ahead by 6, 30 Days Out, History’s on Your Side.

By Jim Geraghty

Comments

An interesting new rule of thumb from Nate Silver: Senate candidates who have a lead of between 6 and 9 points in the simple polling average, with 30 days to go . . .

Tags: 2010, Dan Coats, Kelly Ayotte, Marco Rubio, Pat Toomey, Rand Paul, Ron Johnson, Roy Blunt

September 22, 2010 7:03 A.M.

In New York, GOP’s Paladino Trails Cuomo by Only 6? Only 6?!?

By Jim Geraghty

Comments

Two shockers from Quinnipiac this morning, each one making the other a wee bit suspect. In Pennsylvania: Republican Pat Toomey has hit the magic 50 percent mark as he leads Democratic U.S. . . .

Tags: Andrew Cuomo, Carl Paladino, Joe Sestak, Pat Toomey

September 20, 2010 1:01 P.M.

Toomsday Cometh Ever Closer

By Jim Geraghty

Comments

TOOMSDAY! “Pat Toomey (R) leads Rep. Joe Sestak (D) by 9 points, 45 percent to 36 percent with 19 percent undecided.” . . .

Tags: Joe Sestak, Pat Toomey

September 20, 2010 9:13 A.M.

Pat Toomey, Raising Funds in Response to Obama’s Visit

By Jim Geraghty

Comments

President Obama is campaigning/fundraising in Philadelphia today for Joe Sestak. The Pat Toomey campaign is responding with an online fundraising effort of their own to raise $20,000 today online; they’re . . .

Tags: Barack Obama, Joe Sestak, Pat Toomey

September 15, 2010 2:58 P.M.

Are They Still Swing States When They’re Not Competitive?

By Jim Geraghty

Comments

BOOM: Republican Marco Rubio continues to hold a double-digit lead over independent candidate Charlie Crist in Florida’s contentious race for the U.S. Senate. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely . . .

Tags: Marco Rubio, Pat Toomey, Rob Portman

September 14, 2010 4:36 P.M.

The DCCC’s Ad Offensive Shrinks Again

By Jim Geraghty

Comments

Hmmm. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee’s television ad reservation adjustments have hit northeastern Pennsylvania, where Reps. Christopher Carney (D) and Paul Kanjorski (D) will see a little less air cover from . . .

Tags: Christopher Carney, Pat Toomey, Paul Kanjorski, Tom Corbett

September 14, 2010 10:28 A.M.

Good News for GOP in Nevada, Pennsylvania, Ohio, California

By Jim Geraghty

Comments

The only bad news for Republicans in the latest batch of polls from Fox News is from Florida’s governor’s race: Florida: Marco Rubio (R) leads Gov. Charlie Crist (I) in the . . .

Tags: Carly Fiorina, Meg Whitman, Pat Toomey, Rick Scott, Rob Portman, Sharron Angle

August 26, 2010 9:45 A.M.

TOOMSDAY!

By Jim Geraghty

Comments

A margin of nine percentage points is a “slight lead”? Come on, AP. Live a little! A new poll shows Republican Pat Toomey slightly ahead of Democrat Joe Sestak in their . . .

Tags: Blanche Lincoln, Joe Sestak, Pat Toomey

August 17, 2010 11:01 A.M.

Latest PPP Poll Spells Toomsday for Sestak

By Jim Geraghty

Comments

I’ve given Public Policy Polling some grief about their polls, contending that because they don’t weight for party, many of their polls this year have presumed a throughly unrealistic level . . .

Tags: Joe Sestak, Pat Toomey, PPP

July 30, 2010 9:01 A.M.

The Toomsday Clock Ticks . . . and Ticks . . . and Ticks . . .

By Jim Geraghty

Comments

Rasmussen puts Toomey up 6 over Sestak. Perhaps the most eye-opening figure in the poll? Twenty-seven percent see Toomey’s views as “extreme,” while 39 percent see Sestak the same way. Also: Support for . . .

Tags: Joe Sestak, Pat Toomey

July 28, 2010 10:31 A.M.

Will Democrats Accept the DSCC Spending Bucks to Save Barbara Boxer?

By Jim Geraghty

Comments

Over in Politico it is written: Most people agree that [California Sen. Barbara] Boxer, despite her fundraising prowess and deep network of donors, will require an infusion of DSCC cash. Her . . .

Tags: Barbara Boxer, Carly Fiorina, Joe Sestak, Lee Fisher, Pat Toomey, Rob Portman