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the tragedies of September 11th, our new technologies delivered extraordinary
value. E-mails sent to handheld devices carried by people in the World
Trade Center helped some to escape. Cell-phone calls alerted passengers
on the fourth hijacked plane that the other three had been crashed into
major buildings, and led to the heroic takeover of an aircraft likely
headed towards the U.S. Capitol or White House. Fiber-optic cable and
satellites conveyed a stream of information that saved lives and prevented
panic in ways that would have been impossible even a decade ago.
Given this bravura performance by technology, it would be folly to allow
the political aftermath of the attacks to impede continued improvement.
But this just may happen if a host of proposed federal energy-conservation
measures are enacted.
Even before September 11th, an effort was underway to regulate the energy
used by high-tech electronic devices. On that very day, a Department of
Energy (DOE) hearing on the future of energy-conservation standards
abruptly ended after an hour when news of the disasters arrived
lasted long enough for the agency to pass around a list of potential new
regulatory targets. It included desktop personal computers, monitors,
servers, laser and inkjet printers, and other consumer and office electronics.
In addition, the House version of the energy bill, passed last August,
restricts "standby power," the energy used by electronic devices
when not in actual use. If enacted, these measures would adversely affect
products that use standby power for such functions as storing programmed
information for later use, providing instant-on capability, or maintaining
access to the Internet.
Now, in the aftermath of the attacks, the mantra of "energy security"
has triggered even stronger calls for conservation standards. It is possible
that a host of consumer electronics will soon join more than a dozen lower
tech items refrigerators, clothes washers and dryers, air conditioners,
water heaters, fluorescent lighting, and others that are subject
to DOE energy regulations.
The track record of these existing measures is mediocre. Appliance standards
have slightly raised energy efficiency levels beyond what would have likely
prevailed in their absence. But these regulations have increased the cost
of affected appliances, and in some cases have adversely impacted product
choice, features, performance, and reliability.
Extending this scheme to high-tech electronics would pose similar risks
to affordability and quality, and because these products use little energy
in the first place the potential energy savings would be picayune.
Energy conservation standards are particularly problematic for the fast-changing
tech sector. In contrast to refrigerators and clothes washers and the
like appliances that had decades to develop and mature before being
constrained by federal energy-use restrictions computers, peripherals,
and other electronic products are relatively new and are still undergoing
rapid innovation. Thus, the resultant changes in energy use requirements
cannot be easily determined in advance. Energy standards imposed at this
time and based on the limits of current knowledge are sure to invoke the
iron law of unintended consequences, jeopardizing future innovation.
The terrorist attacks will have a profound effect on policy for a long
time. Nonetheless, a bad idea before September 11th is still a bad idea,
and wrapping the tech sector in the red tape of federal energy-conservation
standards remains so.
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