Strategy for Israel
A real peace plan.

By Aaron Mannes, Washington-based writer & Middle East analyst
December 4, 2001 8:35 a.m.
 

he pair of suicide bombings that struck Israel this weekend, leaving 25 dead and over 170 injured has come on top of 14 months of violent confrontation with the Palestinians producing daily Israeli casualties and several previous suicide attacks. But while Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon condemned Arafat as ultimately responsible for the terrorism — he did not call for an end to Arafat's regime.

Israel's Defense Minister Benjamin Ben-Eliezer explains his opposition to toppling Arafat and the PA saying, "What comes the day after needs to be considered." Israel stares into the post-Palestinian Authority (PA) abyss and hesitates from taking the final step.

Israelis want an easy way out of the intractable Palestinian problem. Consequently many have embraced the delusion that the right alchemy of concessions and threats will ultimately force Arafat to make a deal. Other Israelis propose separation, building a wall around a Palestinian state and waiting for a moderate Palestinian leadership to arise.

After eight years it is apparent that Arafat viewed the peace process as akin to the Trojans opening their gates and wheeling in the horse. Throughout the peace process, his official statements of his demands have not varied one iota. At the same time he created a fertile soil for Intifada by radicalizing Palestinian society. He destroyed the reasonably prosperous Palestinian economy through massive corruption. He founded an education system and media that spat vile, anti-Semitic hate. He governed by fiat and created a multi-tentacled security apparatus to destroy civil society and the rule of law.

Separation is also not workable. Mortars and artillery will fly over the wall, terrorists will get through it. An isolated Palestinian society will not produce moderates. The thugocracy will become even stronger. Israel will create a mini-Afghanistan on its borders.

The easy solution Israel seeks does not exist. There are no moderates in the PA hierarchy to succeed Arafat. The Palestinian opposition is Hamas, the radical Islamist terrorist organization. So, Israel sticks with Arafat — the devil it knows.

But there is another way, a difficult path. Israel must foster a moderate Palestinian leadership that can make peace. The first step will be to eliminate the PA which silences voices of moderation. Israel has a range of diplomatic, financial, and military options that could effectively eliminate the PA, without completely reoccupying Gaza and the West Bank. Legally, the PA exists through treaties signed with Israel. Israel has many grounds on which to abrogate these agreements. Financially it is dependent on funds transferred through Israel. Israeli military operations could end the PA within days — if not hours. This will be the easy part.

The hard part will be building a lawful, peaceful Palestinian society. Israel will have to identify and cultivate moderate local leaderships. It will have to consistently reward and protect those who cooperate and firmly isolate and punish those who do not.

It will be an awesome challenge for such a small country. But after World War II, the United States rebuilt Germany and Japan as liberal democracies. Israel's resources vis-à-vis the Palestinians are comparable to the resources possessed by the United States vis-à-vis Germany and Japan.

Israel's democracy is far from perfect. It is wracked by a range of social and economic problems. But the United States of 1945 was segregated and had interned hundreds of thousands of Americans of Japanese origin. Nonetheless, the core values of liberal democracy in the United States were strong enough to rebuild Germany and Japan. For all of its flaws Israel has been a democracy under the most trying circumstances and is committed to the values that underpin democracy.

These values may find a receptive audience among the Palestinians. Before the Intifada began, many Palestinians were asking provocative questions about Palestinian society and the future Palestinian state. Some spoke admiringly of Israeli democracy and lamented the absence of democracy in the Arab world. Many railed against PA corruption. A few Palestinians asked deeper questions about the mounting violence pervading Palestinian society. Palestinians were beginning to discuss problems facing Palestinian society without reflexively blaming Israel.

But eight years of Arafat have ravaged Palestinian society. The unending violence, grinding poverty, and chilling calls for child-martyrs have torn the social fabric of Palestinian society. The Palestinians need peace to recover from their self-inflicted wounds.

It is conceivable that, with Israeli guidance, freedom could take hold among the Palestinians. Proximity to Israel, a successful liberal democracy with a first world economy, is an invaluable asset for the Palestinians. This proximity also means Israel cannot ignore Palestinian development. Building a moderate Palestinian polity will not be easy. But it will not be possible until Arafat and the PA are removed.

 
 

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