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No Clear Favorite


As I see it, there is no clear favorite in the GOP field. Rudy can muster around 30% in various polls. But he is not growing his plurality. I sense unease in the Republican base, which explains the lack of a consensus candidate. And unlike 1964, 1976, and 1980, where ideology was a key distinguishing factor among the candidates, and conservatives had a candidate to rally behind, all of the top-tier competitors claim to be conservative and invoke Reagan’s name, yet on certain important matters have abandoned conservatism. It’s been interesting watching advocates for this candidate or that candidate struggle as they try to square their principles with the candidates they appear to support.


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