I was talking to a Fred guy a week or so ago who said the Thompson campaign is divided about whether a Huck victory in Iowa helps or hurts them. I’d have to say that it helps in that it keeps Romney from running the table early and therefore it keeps the race alive. But it clearly hurts in that Huck steals Fred’s folksy Southern mo-jo. Huckabee is already leading in what was supposed to be Fred’s must-win state of South Carolina (tied with Romney in the latest Rasmussen poll, with a double digit lead over Fred). If Huck actually wins Iowa, doesn’t he get even more of a bump over Fred in South Carolina? Huck might lose some momentum in New Hampshire, but Fred is going to lose even more. So how is Fred going to make a strong third or even a second in Iowa work for him, as long as Huckabee wins there? Fred better come up the middle in Iowa very fast and far.