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New Iowa Numbers


There’s a new Washington Post/ABC News poll out on the Iowa race.  Conducted among Iowans likely to take part in the Republican caucuses, it shows Huckabee with 35 percent, Romney with 27, Thompson with nine, Giuliani and Ron Paul with eight percent each, and McCain with six.

Looking at intensity, 60 percent of those who named Huckabee as their choice say they will definitely support him, while 49 percent of those who named Romney say they will definitely support him.

When asked which issue was most important to them, 17 percent said immigration; nine percent said terrorism/national security; nine percent said Iraq; nine percent said abortion; and seven percent said the economy – a far different profile from the electorate at large.

When asked the attributes of the candidates, regardless of who they support, 29 percent said Romney is the strongest leader, versus 24 percent for Huckabee.  Thirty-five percent said Huckabee best understands the problem of people like themselves, versus 23 for Romney.  Thirty-five percent said Huckabee is the most honest and trustworthy, versus 23 for Romney.  Twenty-eight said Romney has the best experience to be president, versus 19 percent for Huckabee.  A whopping 61 percent said Romney has campaigned the hardest in Iowa, versus 20 percent for Huckabee.  Thirty-five percent said Romney has the best chance of being elected in November, versus 24 for Huckabee.  And 34 percent said Huckabee best reflects the core values of the Republican party, versus 25 percent for Romney.

When asked whether “Would you say the more you hear about Mike Huckabee, the more (or less, or unchanged) you like him, 37 percent said they liked Huckabee more the more they heard about him.  Fifteen percent said they liked Huckabee less, and 45 percent said their opinion has not changed.

Finally, this question: Does the fact that Mitt Romney is a Mormon make you more (or less, or unchanged) likely to vote for him?  Two percent said it made it more likely, 20 percent said less likely, and 78 percent said it wouldn’t matter.  That 20 percent figure is pretty high; the comparable number in the Post’s New Hampshire poll was nine percent.


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