Bhutto: Domestic Political Fallout
It’s always hard to gauge the domestic political effects of an event like the Bhutto assassination, but to the degree that it reminds voters that the world is dangerous, and that the actions of Islamic extremists can change things in the blink of an eye, it seems that the major beneficiary would be John McCain. More than any other candidate, McCain has the national security credentials to speak with authority on this kind of stuff, and the assassination comes at just the moment he is rising in the polls because people have decided to give him a second look. To a much lesser degree, the situation benefits Rudy Giuliani, who has made the “terrorists’ war on us” the centerpiece of his campaign, but who does not have McCain’s history. It doesn’t help Mitt Romney, who has no real credentials on this stuff beyond his considerable studies, or Mike Huckabee, who also doesn’t have the credentials and hasn’t done the studying. Finally, Fred Thompson has had a serious message about this, but like the rest of his good policy stuff, has had a hard time breaking through.