The conundrum facing Democrats playing the populist foreclosure-moratorium card is shown clearly in a recent Washington Post story. In the continuing theme of demonizing the private sector, many congressional candidates are calling for stopping home foreclosures on a nationwide basis, regardless of the merits of individual cases.
To be sure, many mortgage companies and banks have broken ethical and possibly legal rules as they have been forced to come to grips with record levels of defaults. The problem is that many of these homes represent assets that are no longer worth their original purchase price. Someone has to write down the loss. There has to be a fundamental “reset” in the housing market, even though the consequences will be painful for homeowners and shareholders of financial institutions.
At the end of the day, financial institutions won’t be able to write down these losses until the existing mortgages are either revalued, renegotiated or foreclosed to enable resale. The same is true for the commercial real-estate market, which has barely even touched the radar screens of banks or politicians.
The real-estate industry in the U.S. is in the midst of a depression. The only way to get the industry back on a growth path is for assets to be re-valued at current market levels. A politically imposed national moratorium makes this process even more difficult and will prolong an already painful process. Indeed, it might ensure an even more protracted reset of the housing and commercial real-estate industry.
— Samuel R. Staley is Robert W. Galvin fellow and director of urban and land-use policy at the Reason Foundation.
For capitalism to work, the market must clear (a variation of Say's Law).
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseFor political gain, governments will intervene in the market to favor one or more groups.
Government intervention results in the failure of the market to clear.
When the intervention is strong enough and long enough, a depressed market results.
It is impossible to predict how the market will eventually clear, but it must for the depression to end.
Conclusion: the non-market clearing mechanisms will be inefficient at best, criminal at worst.
Note: The above laws are not subject to repeal or modification.
Sure, a price correction is coming, and has to happen. What we are seeing right now is a stalling action in a game of hot potato. Rest assured the music will stop when the little people, the homeowners, are the ones left holding the loss. The big banks are still Too Big to Fail.
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