California Polling

by John J. Pitney, Jr.


The latest Los Angeles Times poll shows Jerry Brown leading Meg Whitman 52-39% and Barbara Boxer ahead of Carly Fiorina 50-42%. The poll’s findings on favorability and trustworthiness suggest that Whitman has suffered from the story that she had hired and fired an illegal-alien housekeeper. Other polls show much smaller spreads in the races for governor and senator. One curiosity is that the margins don’t match the money. Whitman has massively outspent Brown, and Boxer has outspent Fiorina by a more modest ratio, yet polls tend to show that the Senate race is closer. — John J. Pitney Jr. is Roy P. Crocker Professor of American Politics at Claremont McKenna College.

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