Rasmussen Final Generic Ballot

by Jonah Goldberg


Republicans have opened a 12-point lead over Democrats on the Generic Congressional Ballot for the week ending Sunday, October 31, 2010.  New Rasmussen Reports polling finds that 51% of Likely Voters nationwide plan to vote for their district’s Republican congressional candidate, while 39% are opting for the Democrat.

If these results hold, it could lead to the election of more Republicans to Congress than at any time since the 1920s.

With just one day left until Election Day 2010, these new numbers reflect an increase in the Republican advantage from nine points in each of the preceding two weeks.

Republicans lead by 20 among men and by six percentage points among women. They lead by 20 among senior citizens and by 31 among voters not affiliated with either of the major political parties.

But propelling the GOP more than anything else is a huge enthusiasm gap. In a nation with more Democrats than Republicans, the Rasmussen Reports Likely Voter sample projects that 38% of those who actually vote will be Republican. Just 36% of voters are projected to be Democrats.

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