It’s very early, but the bellwether races of IN-2 and KY-6 look good for the GOP so far. IN-2′s Jackie Walorksi is over 60 percent with 4 percent in (all GOP counties, but she’s running even with Dan Coats, who’s wiping out Ellsworth in the state’s U.S. Senate race), and Andy Barr is running even with Chandler in KY-6. I picked both of these districts to flip parties, and if that happens, it’s a sign that +60 or more is the new baseline.