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Palin Says She Could Beat Obama

On the heels of the comments in the Robert Draper piece this morning, ABC News seems to have rushed to release this snippet from a Barbara Walters interview with Palin set to air on Dec. 9:

Sarah Palin says she is seriously considering a run for the White House, and she believes she could beat President Obama in 2012, the former Alaska governor told ABC News’ Barbara Walters.

“I’m looking at the lay of the land now, and … trying to figure that out, if it’s a good thing for the country, for the discourse, for my family, if it’s a good thing,” Palin said in an interview scheduled to air in full Dec. 9 on ABC as part of Walters’ “10 Most Fascinating People” of 2010.

Asked Walters: “If you ran for president, could you beat Barack Obama?”

“I believe so,” Palin said.

More here, and video below:

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COMMENTS   44

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   11/17/10 16:46

Agree with Palin. If the economy doesn't improve, anyone can beat Obama in 2012. National polls at this point are meaningless. Case in point: External Link 

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   11/17/10 16:46

If you haven't seen it already, I would suggest watching Sarah's new show "Alaska." I was surprised by it (in opposition to Rove's opinion), as I believe is does not harm her Presidential aspirations. In fact, I think she is using the show to both humanize herself and push down her negatives (which seem strangely high). You can't watch the show and honestly come away thinking she's some sort of monster...but then again, I don't know if you can watch the show and see her sitting in the Oval Office either. Maybe that's a good thing?

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   11/17/10 16:53

Something more in line here is that Palin is making sure to frame this question as "Palin vs. Obama" not "Palin can win the Republican nomination." The first question is putting the safer bet down that the 2012 election will be a "do we want to reelect Obama or not" election and if the incumbent is unpopular, it's best to run against him now.

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   11/17/10 17:09

Alberto: I agree.

Presidential elections are always a referendum on the incumbent. People sometime use Goldwater to dispute that, but I think any Republican would have lost big in 1964 (strong economy, massive voter sympathy for the Democrats just a year after JFK's assassination).

Additionally, every time the opposition party has selected their nomineee based on "electability", that candidate ends up losing. See Kerry in 2004 & McCain in 2008.

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   11/17/10 17:13

Hrm. While I won't disagree that Gov Palin might be able to beat Obama in 2012, I kinda hope she won't try. She had the most executive experience of any candidate in 2008 (second place was Sen McCain, who at least was a military command officer), but that wasn't as strong as I'd like - Alaska is fairly non-representative of the rest of the country. What I want, and I'd like to believe what the country needs, is a fresh face but one with a solid record of successful executive judgment. Gov Jindal impresses me (and pair him with John Bolton as VP for unabashed rah-rah American exceptionalism, please!), and I'm sure there are other conservative business and political executives who have a track record of Getting Hard Things Done. Gov Christie, perhaps. Gov Palin is a phenomenon and a force to be reckoned with, no doubt. But she also gets a lot of scorn heaped on her, and I'd prefer someone with a lower net negative rating out of the gate.

No mistake: I do not dismiss or deny her good qualities. Forceful, compelling, charismatic. But we cannot also deny there are strong negatives, and I'd like to see what happens over the next few years. There's a lot to do: leadership can and should be shown at the state levels, promoting Federalism and demonstrating the intestinal fortitude required to cut spending while promoting pro-growth tax policies. Encouraging entrepreneurial and local social activities without transitioning to nanny state status.

If you're running on a record that's not still evolving...I'm not sure I want you in the mix. Of course, there will be exceptions there, but by and large, I agree with the calls to push off 2012 until much closer to the actual time. Ladies and Gentlemen...they've got WORK to do first - and as we're becoming steadily more painfully aware, campaigning isn't governing.

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   11/17/10 17:17

The question in 2012 is the same as it was when Reagan ran, "Are we better off than we were 4 years ago?" And the answer will be a resounding no. In 2008, it was ABB (anybody but Bush). In 2012, it will be PGABO (please God, anbody but obama). I think he has been disasterous for our country

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   11/17/10 17:22

My problem is with the question in the first place. I would hope anyone running for the highest office in the land would believe they can win. What would be the point otherwise? I hate the phrase, "there is no such thing as a stupid question." That one is exhibit 'A' of the fallacy of that trope.

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   11/17/10 17:27

I like Sarah Palin quite a bit, but I just don't think she has a chance in a national election. In my mind, she's much more useful as an endorsement and a campaigner.

It's not even a matter of the Buckley rule. There are plenty of people as conservative as Palin that could beat Obama. Palin loses less because of her politics and more because of her public perception.

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   11/17/10 17:33

Asked Walters: “If you ran for president, could you beat Barack Obama?”

No candidate is going to say no. If they did, why even run. I agree with Shooglenifty

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   11/17/10 17:34

DHC1971, you write "I'm sure there are other conservative business and political executives who have a track record of Getting Hard Things Done. Gov Christie, perhaps".

To be frank, those who drop Gov. Christie's name as a possible 2012 candidate lose my attention. Other than great You Tube clips, what has he actually accomplished? What exactly is his track record? How many planks of the platform does he support? I'm not trying to put the man down. I just think he's more of "a flavor of the month" than someone who is actually a viable candidate.

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   11/17/10 17:35

"Could you beat Barack Obama?"

What's she suppose to say? "Gee, I don't think so, Barbara, but I'm thinking of running anyway."

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   11/17/10 17:43

Palin/Santorum 2010.

I figure, if you're going to irk the left-leaning parts of both the Dems and GOP, do it right. Have the guts to run real Conservatives with real conservative messages. If Conservatism loses, let it be only because the people have actually rejected it.

That's correct - I want a national debate where somebody actually takes the stance that health care is *not* a Constitutionally guaranteed right. I want somebody to propose a replacement for federally subsidized school lunches called, "Make Your Kid a *#$( Sandwich" - adorning the brown bags with drawings of whales, optional, unless the school objects, in which case it is highly encouraged. Take the "Compassion" out of "Compassionate Conservatism" and, instead, concentrate on educating the electorate that Conservatism is inherently compassionate, whereas Liberalism is cruel and uninspiring, requiring misery to perpetuate itself.

We'll know we're on the right track when the NYT endorsement for the GOP POTUS primary is polling at 5th or 6th. If our major candidates are not offending the tome of All the News That Fits the Liberal Agenda, we've failed.

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 RL
   11/17/10 17:45

Hard to believe that ABC News would consider, "Candidate thinks she can beat potential opponent" to be news. They should also release any quotes from Palin on whether she loves her kids.

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   11/17/10 17:53

RefudiateObama: You might be surprised that I agree with you. I name-dropped Christie because he seems to be taking on the right things, at least from the news stories. I don't watch YouTube clips much, but from what I can see, he's at least starting down the right pathway. But starting down the pathway and amassing enough actual achievement to earn a deserved turn as our Chief Executive are two different things. There's a reason I said that if you're running on a record that's not evolving, I'm less interested. If Christie (or Jindal or anyone else) can't point to a solid record of successful governance that fits the needs of our country now and two years from now, I won't be interested either. Christie (or Jindal, etc) might wind up being better 2016 candidates (or later) since they'll have a longer time to show everyone what they can do.

And that's what I want: a doer, not a talker.

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   11/17/10 17:55

I'd fully support the Jindal/Bolton ticket that DHC1971 suggested. And while I like Palin, I think I'd rather see her as head of the RNC (not that they'd ever allow that).

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   11/17/10 18:00

As much as I love her and her family, and everything they represent, I'm not sure I could vote to put her in the White House. I would prefer to see Palin as RNC chair as well. She has a track record of raising big money, and a polarizing figure in that position is kind of expected.

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   11/17/10 18:15

I'm glad she's finally doing some interviews with potentially non-friendly sources. Her big liability as a Presidential candidate is that too many people don't think she's up to the job, and much of that is due to the Couric interview in 2008, and the way she is usually portrayed in the mainstream media. Best way to counter that is to get out and look competent and Presidential in some tough interviews. Now is the time to test whether she can do that before she makes a decision. Hope she does some of the Sunday talk shows or Big three anchors soon.

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rmquillen
   11/17/10 18:19

The most interesting part of the interview is not this fluff, but her explanation of why she had to leave the governorship: she was going to be bankrupted by the endless bogus lawsuits and false ethics charges==which were all discharged in her favor!! The Smartset meant to ruin her but it backfired!! She is now the most powerful single figure in American politics--they report her Tweets on the Nightly News,for God's sake! It's pretty amazing.

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   11/17/10 18:22

There is simply no way a candidate will be elected President of the United States if she is unwilling (or unable) to stand for a press conference with the national media; appear at town hall meetings to answer unscripted questions; or engage in freewheeling debates with other candidates. Celebrity interviews with Barbara Walters, Fox appearances, Facebook posts and Tweets couldn't get her preferred candidate elected in her home state. How will she convince the nation she's ready to lead if she can't stand before the people and answer our questions.

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   11/17/10 18:37

Eric, I see a Jake Tapper interview in the near future.

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