Dream Likely to Pass House, Still Fail in Senate

by Katrina Trinko

The House is expected to vote on the DREAM Act as early as 6:30 p.m. EST tonight. Reid said late this afternoon that he will not hold the Senate cloture vote until after the House has voted.

A GOP House aide tells me the legislation won’t be brought to the floor unless the Democrats are sure it can pass.  “Most people are expecting that the Senate will torpedo the thing over there,” the aide says, adding that “the situation is fluid.”

If it passes the House, will it gain momentum and be able to pass in the Senate?  Not according to one GOP Senate aide, who e-mails, “Reid realized it had very dim chances in the Senate and hoped the House might at least pass it first — purely as a misguided messaging play. It won’t affect the final outcome.”

UPDATE: Asked if any House Republicans will support DREAM, another GOP House aide said that “Republicans are expected to oppose the DREAM Act because it extends far beyond the hardship cases it claims to address and perpetuates the problem of illegal immigration it claims to solve.” Of course, the current Democrat majority ensures that no Republican could vote for DREAM and the legislation could still pass.

UPDATE II: Reid has delayed the vote until tomorrow morning.

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