I confess to watching with grim amusement this kerfuffle over whether Republicans have already reneged on the vaunted promise — in the vaunted Pledge — to cut $100 billion in spending. Four thoughts:
1. Rep. Ryan is correct. The pertinent part of the Pledge reads: “With common-sense exceptions for seniors, veterans, and our troops, we will roll back government spending to pre-stimulus, pre-bailout levels, saving us at least $100 billion in the first year alone[.]” The promise was to roll back spending to 2008, and it was estimated at the time the promise was written — based on President Obama’s proposed 2011 budget — that this would result in a saving of at least $100 billion (as Dan points out, more like $107 billion). But the core of the promise is about slashing to 2008, not the exact amount of the resulting savings since that could not be known precisely at the time. The Pledge could have been clearer on that point, but that seems picky to me.
2. The $100 billion estimate (now more like $60 billion according to Rep. Ryan) was very unimpressive. If we assume for argument’s sake a continuing resolution that would lock 2010 levels in for the whole fiscal year, federal spending that year was about $3.55 trillion. That is, Republicans were talking about shaving less than 1/35 of federal spending (less than 3 percent).
3. As Rep. Ryan has acknowledged, if we just take the deal Republicans overwhelmingly endorsed last month to extend the Bush tax rates to 2012, it includes a whopping $313 billion in new spending — i.e., spending unrelated to extending the lower tax rates.
4. The stated goal here, 2008, was an example of out-of-control federal spending — nearly $3 trillion in total expenditures, adding nearly $460 billion to the debt (without factoring in most unfunded liabilities).
Like I said before, the Democrats and the Press will scream bloody murder whether the Republicans cut $60 Billion, $100 Billion, or $1 Trillion. They might as well go big or go home.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseA LOT of nitpicking on this one from the MSM. I agree that the GOP should have made the focus on 2008 levels as opposed to $100 billion, but they did NOT all out lie or purposely deceive. There just isn't enough time in the budget year to make those cuts reach $100 billion. For the love of God the MSM is just out of control on this. If the Dems promised $100 billion in cuts, and instead added $200 billion to spending in an act of actual deception, you wouldn't hear a peep on it!
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseNothing will be cut. Spending always goes up. Once they tap out the debt markets, the printing presses will be set to eleven. In fifteen years 78 million Boomers will be on the dole, demanding more and more. That's their history and there is no reason to think they will become thoughtful and selfless in their dotage.
We're doomed.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseListen for when the Dems start playing the race card ("These cuts will disproportionately hurt black people!" and so froth*). It is at that point that everyone will know real cuts have begun.
*Yes, I'm saying "froth" instead of "forth" to be cute.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseNormally, I'm not a defeatist. But, in this instance, I agree - we are doomed, for all the reasons you mentioned, and several more. We do not have the political wherewithal to fix the problems that will surely be our undoing.
Reply to this commentLinkReport Abuse"There just isn't enough time in the budget year to make those cuts reach $100 billion."
That's part of the point, the calender did not magically change. There was never enough time to do it. Republicans set the 100 billion figure because it made for a good talking point. However, they did promise to cut 100 billion. Why make the promise if you know that you cannot do it? That's easy, because you want to be elected. Letting Republicans off the hook or chastising the MSM (which Republicans frequented promising to cut 100 billion) is just rank partisanship.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseMy advice is to drink up. This will be viewed as defeatism by some of the more optimistic quarters but if you really think there is hope when some 44-48% of the people approve of this President...I just can't muster any more effort for the cause. I'll donate, I'll volunteer, I'll preach the truth. But we're past the point of being screwed. The saddest fact for me is if that the economy were "good" (say, 6% unemployment) his approval rating would be even higher. People just don't care. And I'm getting to that point.
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