Barack Obama has now completed either the first half or the first quarter of his presidency. His 2011 State of the Union address shows that its central contradiction remains unresolved. Since his keynote speech at the 2004 Democratic convention made him a national figure, Obama has been a committed partisan, committed to post-partisanship. In 2008, he went out of his way to denigrate the modest accomplishments of Bill Clinton, president of the Democratic Leadership Council before he became president of the country. Obama promised to be, instead, a Democratic Reagan, a president who moved the center rather than one forced to move toward the center.
Liberals thought his election, combined with the large congressional majorities built up in 2006 and 2008, meant that it was finally time to dream and act big again, to talk about Marshall Plans for one domestic problem or another, and not be laughed at. At the same time, Obama’s talk of one America — where comity and earnest pragmatism displaced ideologues — appealed to swing voters, who were weary of the political class’s contentious arguments while the country’s problems grew worse.
It was never going to be easy to gratify his base and reassure the swing voters who shifted from the Republicans to the Democrats between 2004 and 2008. The theory guiding the Obama presidency during its first two years was that the financial crisis created opportunities to do both, that the voters would accept a much greater degree of government activism than under normal circumstances. The agenda of necessity would facilitate the agenda of choice, to use William Galston’s terminology.
The 2010 election showed that just the opposite happened. The base was demoralized, seeing glasses half-empty in every Democratic accomplishment, while the swing voters were conservatized by deficits and bailouts. In the SOTU opening passages evoking the Tucson mayhem — “We are part of the American family” — Obama returned to the post-partisanship of his 2004 breakthrough speech. The 2010 election was not a rebuke, according to Obama’s analysis, but a demand from the people that both parties work together.
The challenge for Obama, with a reelection campaign on the horizon, will be to make that kind of post-partisanship substantive, rather than just rhetorical. He has no political reason to worry about antagonizing the Democratic base, which has nowhere else to go, but reconciling himself to concessions as big as the one Bill Clinton made in signing the 1996 welfare-reform bill may not be so easy. Being governor of Arkansas habituated Clinton to that kind of accommodation. Being a state senator from Chicago and winning a walk-over election for the U.S. Senate did not prepare Obama to make similar ones. Like the 42 Americans who held the job before him, Obama is finding out that the presidency you want to have usually has little in common with the one history wants you to have.
— William Voegeli, a contributing editor of The Claremont Review of Books, is the author of Never Enough: America’s Limitless Welfare State and a visiting scholar at Claremont McKenna College’s Salvatori Center.
Not remarkable. Every president goes through the same ruminations in treading the middle. Obama's problem all along is the same: he lacks credibility.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseObama's speech was one big Alinskyite lie. National Review needs to lead a campaign over the next two years to make sure that Americans are aware of that fact.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseI wonder how many people think you made an error when you said that 42 Americans had held the job before Obama. If I didn't have more faith in the readers of NRO, I'd say a lot.
Reply to this commentLinkReport Abuse@ reldim
It was 42 ... you probably counted Grover Cleveland twice (having served 2 terms ... one before and one after Benjamin Harrison).
Your failed attempt at redicule has shown you to be childish. Being an NRO might help you out a bit.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseThis President continues to have big problems with the truth...he continues to mislead the American People so he can further his liberal, socialist agenda....more spending, more big government, more bowing to his lobbyist (the unions).....He's the same Obama and hopefully the American People are smart enough to see that....I think they are!
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseHe is actually correct there have only been 42 presidents before him. He is the 44th president but glover cleveland was president twice. Thus only 42 before President Obama.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseUnless I read reldim incorrectly, he or she was actually praising NRO readers for being able to understand there were only 42 prior Presidents. Whereas many people might *think* it was a mistake, NRO readers wouldn't.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseI think reldim had something a bit more insidious in mind.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseHammer Obama on the stimulus. There is no greater example of the fed's incompetence and lack of innovation. And the real jaw dropper is ... they want to do it again.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseObama being in a "tough spot" is a matter of his on making. He sold himself as a centrist bipartisan unifier to get elected. Then as soon as he was elected he took a hard and fast turn left. He now sees a more moderate nation awakened to his true self nature and so needs to sell himself again to the center and right independents who are saying to themselves: "Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me." And they are not seeking self shame.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseIn reading and thinking about Mr. Russell's post, I came to realize something quite scary.
Mr. Russell states that Obama "sold himself as as a centrist" and that "he [Obama] took a hard and fast turn left".
I think it is safe to assume that Obama never turned anywhere and that he was a hard leftist to begin with. This would, of course, mean that he lied (synonymous with "sold") about being a centrist in order to get elected.
This means that a significant majority of the independent voters were easily influenced by cheap talk offered up by a sweet-talking spokesperson.
Since most national elections are decided by independent voters... easily influenced...
Shudder...
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