The debate over whether we should invade Libya reminds me of the Simpsons episode where Lisa puts an electrode in a cupcake to see whether her brother Bart or a hamster will be the first to figure out not to touch it. The hamster figures it out after one shock, while Bart keeps grabbing at the cupcake and getting shocked, over and over and over again.
You see where I’m going with this. Our invasion of Afghanistan was supported — demanded — by everyone as a punitive raid to kill the scum who attacked us. Our armed forces succeeded brilliantly, as we knew they would. But then we told them to stay there, starting a whole new war to pacify the country. And they’re still there.
Our invasion of Iraq was supposed to topple a vicious, expansionist dictator who was believed to be developing nuclear weapons. NRO ran a piece by, of all people, Amitai Etzioni, whose title I think summed up most people’s attitude: “In and Out.” Our armed forces again succeeded brilliantly, but we again didn’t leave, again starting a whole new war to pacify the country. And we’re still there.
Now we are assured that intervention in Libya will be clean, with no strings attached. Does anyone really believe that? As Peggy Noonan writes in her column, “So we wind up in long, drawn-out struggles when we didn’t mean to, when it wasn’t the plan, or the hope, or the expectation.” Of course our armed forces will again perform brilliantly, and Qaddafi and his repellent mafia clan will be hanging from piano wire in no time. But everyone knows we’ll end up staying to pacify the country, trying in vain to reconcile one gang of cretinous barbarians with the neighboring gang of cretinous barbarians. As loathsome as Qaddafi is and as richly as he deserves death, there’s nothing happening in Libya that warrants even one American soldier risking a twisted ankle, let alone his limbs, his mind, or his life.
How many times will we grab this cupcake? Just say no to war in Libya.
That is the most eloquent expression of the position I share that I have yet read. Good work.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseThere's insufficient reason for the U.S. to get involved in Libya. Very surprising that the Security Council more or less went along with it, with the Russians and Chinese both sitting on their hands, if they weren't actually rubbing them together at the prospect of America being suckered in.
Your take on Afghanistan and Iraq, about the length of those engagements, is superficial. It's very difficult to say it out loud, but couching it in the most euphemistic terms, they have both served as disposal units for the jihadist demographic. Invaluable to have them coming to overseas locations where you have concentrations of lethal force. Very taboo to say so.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseThe answer is obviously yes. Just look at our deficits, the management of the Fed, and the persecution of Christians in countries we prop up with our military.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseI think Derb put it more succintly, "Rubble doesn't make trouble".
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseMark, it's very difficult to go in with military force and make things better, and it takes ages. It's actually pretty easy to go in with a military force and make things worse. So long as we make things worse for the right people, it can be worth the effort.
That makes this a different cupcake.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseWhat Orson said. Excellent post Mark.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseI find myself on opposite sides of at least 3 of the 4 writers at NRO I most respect: Krikorian, Derbyshire, and McCarthy. I'm not yet sure of where Stuttaford stands, and I have little admiration for the neocons at NRO.
I think it's important not simply to learn "a lesson" from history, but to learn and apply the right lesson.
For example, much of the justification for the Iraq War was that we would bring freedom and democracy to a land that hadn't known much of either, just like we did to Japan and Germany after WW2. The problem with applying that lesson was that it didn't account for the reason we had both the will and the moral authority to soundly defeat both countries and to force changes in their society: they were ravaging the world, and we had the right to stop them with any necessary force.
So here we have a case of an active insurrection against a man whose support of terrorism was responsible for 270 deaths at Lockerbie alone, and we're questioning whether we should support the effort to remove him? Seriously? At a relatively minor cost we have the chance to send a message to thugs who support terrorism, and, since the insurrection was already in progress, we can wash our hands of what comes after.
We are understandably tired after nearly a decade of two difficult, costly wars whose purpose and outcome remains somewhat vague. I have no illusions about what the rebels stand for, or how they might govern after they win, but I know that Khaddafi has earned such a fate.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseGreat post, Mark, I'm in full agreement. Nation building is for suckers.
Reply to this commentLinkReport Abuse>"At a relatively minor cost we have the chance to send a message to thugs who support terrorism, and, since the insurrection was already in progress, we can wash our hands of what comes after."
You do understand that the insurrectionists are themselves terrorist thugs who would be happy to blow up the Statute of Liberty, right?
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseThe dedication and courage of our soldiers during these conflicts has undoubtedly been amazing. But your consistent mantra that the armed forces performed "brilliantly" seems to be undermined by your conclusion that their efforts in Iraq and Afghanistan have not gone particularly well. You may believe that the armed forces should not be involved in stabilizing nations, but the fact is that it is a task the armed forces have been required to do even before the Bush administration. The military should be versatile, ready to handle diverse situations and to follow the instructions of leaders with different understandings about how the United States should conduct warmaking. To the extent that the military is not very good at nation building, that needs to be improved, even if you personally oppose the U.S. engaging in such behavior (a hesitation I share).
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseWhat an absolute asinine post by Mr. Krikorian. No one argued that Iraq would be in and out. In fact, the Bush admin said over and over that this would be a long battle, one that could be generational. History will show that our invasion and creation of an Iraqi democratic Republic was beyond sucessful and historically quick. So sucessful, in fact, that ALL of the Middle East is coming apart at the seams as the people on the street are overturning their tyranical systems for democratic ones, just as Bush predicted would happen.
Do you know what it takes for the good people of Libya, Syria or Iran to protest - do you know what it means? It means they now face a good chance of being put to death by their vile, anti-American gov’ts. Yet there are thousands of people risking their lives and limbs for liberty. And yet Mark thinks that Quaddafi is a better more safer choice for American national security? Mark would rather have no influence with the rebels? How mindbogglingly stupid!
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseIt is sobering to reflect on the loneliness of those under tyrants. You will always be alone in adversity and oppression. The repeated examples of genocide and repression clearly demonstrate that self-reliance and political talent is not merely an individual virtue: it is a necessity of all those who are vulnerable. Incommodity will trump human life.
Nobody will come to save us in our hour of need. This is true of the Jew, the Hutu and the South Sudanese, the Egyptian Christian, the Chinese democrat, the opponent of Mexican drug gangs, the critics of the Kremlin... our unborn.
Reply to this commentLinkReport Abuse** "You do understand that the insurrectionists are themselves terrorist thugs who would be happy to blow up the Statute of Liberty, right?" **
Flenser, you're another NRO regular I respect and usually agree with.
If the CIA has data that these men are terrorists then that would matter. I'm assuming they don't. If they do turn into terrorists then we bomb them to the hereafter. Even the most evil coup leaders generally only want to control a country's wealth for themselves. Let them do so, so long as they leave the US and our allies alone. Eventually these thugs will get the message that if they want to remain in power they won't support terrorism against the West.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseTime to end the Ponzi approach to governance advocated by Progressives and Neocons alike.
Reply to this commentLinkReport Abuse"At a relatively minor cost we have the chance to send a message to thugs..."
Enough with the "messages" already. We don't have a clue what kind of message our action - or inaction - will send (and more importantly - will be received as) by assorted thugs around the world.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseIs there any way that we could intervene just enough to keep both sides at parity? That way they can go on killing each other for as long as possible.
The more bullets they waste on each other, the fewer are left for firing at us.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseTypical National Review palecon antisemitic isolationist drivel. You LaRouchites are such unpatriotic conservatives.
Oh no, wait. That was 2005. Looks like things have changed.
Not that I'm not glad to see signs of sanity among NR's stable of writers (although unfortunately the editorial board seems to ber permanently trapped in 2002 monster quest mode), but one problem with switches like this is that they bolster the leftist case that there's no conservative principle involved; Republicans just get all gung-ho behind George W's excellent adventures but then suddenly discover all sorts of rationales to mind our own business once the White House turns blue.
This is a promising sign of hope and change toward responsibility on the self-appointed center right - if it sticks. I just hope that once President Pawlenty takes office, NR doesn't suddenly discover a thousand new reasons we have to invade Indonesia, Syria, Yemen, and Kazakhstan.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseNo doubt a fascinating Simpsons episode would have occurred to Krikorian,
Reply to this commentLinkReport Abusehad he been in the city of Benghazi last night.
Great post Mark! Exactly how I feel about it.
Liberalism has turned every one of our recent military actions into long-term, open-ended dangerous commitments. The Germany/Japan analogy only works if we utterly and completely defeat the enemy, occupy the country (with NO apologies), and install the government of our choosing.
When it comes to radical Islam we have not done that. The amount of force we would have to apply, and the number of nations we would have to invade and conquer is beyond the mental capacity of modern "who are we to judge", "but, but, but civilian casualties" liberalism. Short of an Arab armed invasion of Western Europe, that isn't going to happen. Iraq was lost until Bush did the Conservative thing: Play to Win. As soon as he left, Play to Tie Liberals have let things go to pot.
If we are not prepared to go all-in, fight to win, take over the country, install a constitutional, non-Sharia, secular government, and stay there until it takes full root, then we have no business putting American lives at risk. We just signed on to a feckless UN resolution (is there any other kind?). If it is right to do, and it is in American interests, then we do not need the UN's blessing. But if you are a weak American President, the UN gives you a momma's skirt to hide behind.
Reply to this commentLinkReport Abuse1. This is the most cogent summary of the case for nonintervention that I've seen to date.
2. Mark Krikorian, you may not be of an age to remember the promises of quick and easy victory in Vietnam. However, the people that put us into Iraq are old enough. (That's why I got a bad feeling when I saw Bush's Mission Accomplished photo-op.)
3. Patrick J, I am a conservative(-leaning libertarian). Fyi, back in 2003 I kept asking why our priority was to use limited resources to topple a secular Arab dictator when the enemy is Islamism. I have never gotten an answer that I accept as sensible.
4. Apparently serious consideration is not being given to an intervention in Iran. In fact, if we intervene in Libya, the Iranian leadership will no doubt appreciate the extra time to work on their nukes.
5. If we remove Ghaddafi on behalf of Islamists and help reestablish the Caliphate, we will not be thanked as benefactors. We will be viewed as suckers.
6. With the foregoing said, I do not consider myself flat-out opposed to an intervention in Libya. I consider myself skeptical and unconvinced.
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