In his budget proposal, Rep. Paul Ryan has a section on “tax expenditures.” These special tax breaks are the ways in which the government uses the tax code to reward people for jumping through particular hoops, such as borrowing lots of money to buy a house.
Ryan has this to say about tax expenditures:
[T]hese distortions are similar to government spending – instead of markets directing economic resources to their most efficient uses, the government directs resources to politically favored uses, creating a drag on growth. . . .
Tax expenditures have a huge impact on the federal budget, resulting in over $1 trillion in forgone revenue each year. . . . To put that number in perspective, $1 trillion is roughly the total amount the government collects each year in federal income taxes.
Eliminating large tax expenditures . . . would have a doubly positive impact on the economy – it would stop diverting economic resources to less productive uses, while making possible the lower tax rates that provide greater incentives for economic growth.
Well said. Ryan doesn’t say, however, which “large” tax expenditures he wants Congress to eliminate.
The Congressional Joint Committee on Taxation recently released a regular report that details which tax expenditures will be the largest over the next half-decade — in other words, the main candidates for Ryan’s chopping block.
Below are the ten that made the JCT list, and the total projected costs of each of them over the five years from now till 2014:
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Tax exclusion for employer contributions to health insurance: $659.4 billion
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Deduction for mortgage interest on owner-occupied houses: $484.1 billion
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Lower tax rates for dividends and long-term capital gains: $402.9 billion
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Tax exclusion of pension contributions (defined-benefit): $303.2 billion
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Earned income tax credit: $268.8 billion
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State and local tax deductions: $237.3 billion
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Exclusion of pension contributions, 401(k)-style: $212.2 billion
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Exclusion of capital gains at death: $194 billion
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Charitable deductions: $182.4 billion
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Untaxed Social Security and railroad retirement benefits: $173 billion
Which one(s) would the commenters like to get rid of? (My vote is #2, although there are some runners-up.)
— Nicole Gelinas is a contributing editor to the Manhattan Institute’s City Journal.
The mortgage interest tax deduction should be limited to a maximum, as I believe it once was. To completely eliminate it would bring another episode of, or acceleration to, the fall in house values. Limiting it would save less money but it would make it more politically palatable.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseTax "expenditure" implies that letting someone keep their own earnings is an expense.
That aside, I'd say cut all of the items in the list (and then some) and move quickly to a flat tax.
A tax code that allows GE to pay zero on billions while I pay thousand (on an income well south of $100K) is immoral.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseEliminating both the mortgage interest deduction and the exclusion for employer contributions would be huge steps in the right direction. They both put a drag on taxpayers/employees from maximizing their earning because they both incentivize non-mobility in the job marketplace. People are stuck at jobs with little chance of advancement because (a) they can't forgo the health insurance they receive or (b) they can't move.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseKCRob - I disagree. A tax code that allows GE to pay zero compared to you is exactly the kind of system we should have. A tax code that allows GE to pay zero compared to other companies simply because GE has better lobbyist is immoral. Corporate taxes are paid collectively by the individual citizens, either by (a) consumers in the form of higher prices, (b) employees through lower wages, or (c) shareholders through less dividends or lower stock prices.
I have never been convinced that corporations/businesses should pay income taxes (or any federal taxes). They are passed along to all of us. Convince me if I'm wrong.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseDear KCRob -- Tax expenditures do not allow people to "keep their own earnings." "Keep" implies that people could do exactly what they wanted with this money -- which they can't.
Through tax expenditures, the government takes money from people who don't adhere to the government's preferred behaviors and gives it to people who do.
For that reason, you are right -- a flat(ter) tax would be much better.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseThat list mixes apples and oranges.
The interest rate deduction encourages people to buy a house. So the market is distorted in favor of buying vs. renting. The health insurance deduction encourages employers to provide insurance vs. paying higher salaries, distorting employer compensation.
But where is the distortion in allowing state taxes to be deducted? It's not like I have a choice whether to pay state taxes or not.
Reply to this commentLinkReport Abuse2 and 9 would be my top priorities, especially 9. There are several other tax breaks for charities, which more than double the figure given. Of all the diversion of resources into unproductive uses, charities are the worst; the vast majority of them are prosyletizers for unpleasant and economically damaging political positions.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseThat's 3.1 trillion dollars to cut all of them.
Seems to me, that's money spent way better in
Reply to this commentLinkReport Abusemany ways, #1 debt, #2, flat tax. The economy
would take off like a rocket !!!
According to the author, a lower rate for capital gains is equivalent to a deduction? Ummm, that's apples and oranges. If reduced rates are in play, why not include the income tax rate?
Leaving that complaint aside, I'm all for getting rid of mortgage deduction and state and local tax deductions.
Also not listed here are specific industry deductions or credits that should be done away with, or credits to consumers of certain, government approved industries (electric cars, green power, energy efficient appliances). Get rid of them now.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseFirst, semantics matter. The sooner that "tax expenditures" leaves our vocabulary, the better. Calling earned money that the Gov't chooses not to tax a "tax expenditure" concedes the premise that all money is Government money to begin with, and they spend by letting us keep some of it.
Having said that, #1 should go. The sooner that we disconnect health insurance from employment, the better. Workers would become more mobile, pay would increase, and insurance company service would increase. This should be a personal purchasing decision. We should see competitive health insurance ads on TV, just like the countless Geico, Progressive, Allstate, State Farm etc. ads convincing us to buy their insurance products.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseI'm disappointed to see that Ryan is adopting the tax expenditure terminology. He is (I'm sure unintentionally) adopting pro-tax propaganda. Most of these exclusions are already built into the rates: for example the home mortgage interest deduction goes back far beyond not only the 1986 code, but even the predecessor 1954 code. Why do currently rates have to be as high as they are? Because there are these longstanding exclusions and exemptions, so the current rates have to be corresponding higher on the remaining income. But then don't turn around and tell us we're getting some undeserved break by not having to pay the same corresponding higher rate on the exclusions!
Commendably Ryan is arguing for transitioning to lower tax rates, and he's correct that this would eliminate distortions. But he also says that these "expenditures" "have a huge impact on the federal budget". Why? This is muddled thinking. If the exclusions are eliminated and the rates adjust, no revenue is lost! If the rates don't adjust, he has fallen into the tax-raisers trap!
Reply to this commentLinkReport Abuse@Michael Kennedy
I initially thought that maybe capping these deductions and credits would be a way to find a compromise, but I fear that the existence of (for example) the mortgage deduction would lend itself to a creep upward of the maximum amount, until the maximum doesn't matter anymore. Making a clean break would make it politically less likely that it will come back.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseElminating the state/local tax deductions would be a good way of eliminating the perverse incentive of states to impose higher taxes on their citizens. A better way would simply be to elect state leaders that want to shrink state governments.
Unfortunately, even if all these "loopholes" and other expenditures were elminated, they would simply be added back later as future Congress' tinker with the system. Another reason why the 16th amendment is the worst we have (other than the 18th which was repealed).
What would Congress do if they didn't have the tax code to play with.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseDon't like this attitude on Ryan's part at this time.
Only by instituting a vast change in the tax code...flat tax... and on the spending side...constitutional balanced budget, eliminating whole cabinet departments...would I go along with this. Otherwise they just take the money and spend it.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseIn the long run, they all should probably be eliminated, although the corporate income tax should be eliminated before we move to taxing capital gains and dividends at ordinary-income rates, and the estate tax should be eliminated before we do away with the basis step-up on death. I do think there's an argument for allowing a carryover basis upon death, without immediate realization of capital gains, but the step-up basis can't really be justified.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseAll of them. Get rid of all of them. No more social engineering and rent-seeking via an insanely arcane tax code.
It would personally cost me tens of thousands of dollars, but I'm all for getting rid of every deduction we can...
... in exchange for a flat tax!
Eliminate the deductions, then figure out what level of flat tax is required to match those same amount of funds, and institute that.
If somehow people still need the illusion of fairness provide by progressivity, then fine, have TWO brackets for income tax, but no more.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseThe tax system should be set up so that, whether you are a business or an individual, whether you own or rent, whether its a capital gain or not, whether its investment or consumption, everything should be taxed at the same rate. Complete neutrality is what the tax system should strive for. What to do with money should not be "biased" based on what tax break you can get. Nicole makes it clear that tax rates could be greatly reduced by eliminating tax expenditures. Efficiency would be improved too if we could just eliminate the distortions.
Reply to this commentLinkReport Abuse#6 - the "Earned Income Tax Credit"
First, the moniker makes me cringe! CREDIT? Toward what? A credit implies that someone receives in value AT MOST what one paid, not MORE THAN! There's no "payment" to credit!
Second, this policy encourages out-of-wedlock and welfare births. Just go work with welfare recipients, and ask them why they decided to have the third kid. It wasn't for love of teaching algebra to the ninth grader in his bedroom!
As an aside, I cannot stomach the love of conservatives for a flat tax. What a noxious concept, an income tax! "You exist, therefore you owe!" And as if ONE RATE fixes anything. What? No one would EVER TINKER with the one rate, by, say, splitting it in two?
No, we need every American to have 100% control over his or her tax liability on January 1 each year. WE SHOULD TELL THE GOVERNMENT HOW MUCH MONEY IT CAN RAISE.
And there's only one way to achieve that . . .
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseEach of these so-called "tax expenditures" is rooted in good public policy justifications. I will specifically address the first three.
(1) The exclusion of premiums paid by an employer or a self-employed person for health insurance is designed to subsidize the purchase of health insurance policies. This exclusion should be expanded so that all premiums paid for health insurance are deductible. Such an expansion would de-link health insurance from employment, and would make health insurance policies portable as people switch jobs. This exclusion should also be modified so that it is limited to catastrophic health care insurance policies that have a large deductible, and it should be coupled with tax-free health care savings that can be used to pay the deductibles. This will create the incentives people need in order to bring competition on price into health care and reduce prices.
(2) The mortgage interest deduction is designed to subsidize home ownership. People who own their own home are more stable, responsible, and take more of an interest in their communities than do renters. Society benefits by having a large number of its citizens be homeowners and the income tax code recognizes this fact.
(3) The 15% top rate for dividends and capital gains are designed to address several issues.
First, the 15% rate for dividends is a way of partially dealing with the fact that corporate income is double taxed. Corporations pay a 35% federal income tax and state income taxes of approximately 8% when the income is earned, and the shareholders pay a 15% federal tax and approximately 7% state income tax when the corporation distributes profits to its shareholders. The combined tax rate on corporate income is approximately 55%. To achieve parity with income earned outside of a corporation, the income tax on dividends should be eliminated or the corporate income tax rate should be reduced by the rate of tax on dividends.
Second, the 15% capital gains rate is designed to address two major issues. Much of the gain that individuals recognize when they sell an asset is phantom gain attributable to inflation. Also, individuals can choose when to sell an asset and will choose to not sell assets if the tax rate is too high. This phenomena is called capital lock and it causes an economy to not allocate capital to its most efficient use. The reduced tax rate is designed to alleviate both of these problems. Again, this so-called "tax expenditure" should be expanded by indexing capital gains to inflation so that we stopped taxing phantom income that is attributable to rising price levels across our economy.
The next seven alleged "tax expenditures" all have their own public policy justifications, and I view almost all of them as compelling.
I have to say that I am disappointed with the ignorance on display by Ms. Gelinas. I know that there are tax knowledgeable people at NRO and one of them should have stepped in before Ms. Gelinas wrote such an ignorant piece and published it on NRO.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseAll of them.
Reply to this commentLinkReport Abuse