As the disheartening details continue to emerge about the $38 billion spending cut deal, and on the eve of a vote scheduled for Thursday, Republicans leaders are urging members to show party loyalty and vote for the bill. According to sources present at a GOP conference meeting Wednesday morning, House Speaker John Boehner (R., Ohio), Majority Leader Eric Cantor (R., Va.) and Majority Whip Kevin McCarthy (R., Calif.) pressed members for support, saying that a vote against the CR would be “taking the easy way out.”
That did not sit well with some freshman members, many of whom are particularly dismayed by a new report from the Congressional Budget Office predicting that the immediate deficit reduction impact of the $38 billion in cuts would amount to just $352 million. Freshman Rep. Tim Huelskamp (R., Kan.), in a statement announcing his intention to vote against the CR, pointed out that the CBO’s number reflects savings of little more $1 per person in the United States.
“In the last two hours, the country has borrowed about $352 million, so we’re making no progress in getting out of the red,” Huelskamp said. “The American people are looking for meaningful reductions that actually will make a difference to our $1.6 trillion deficit and our $14.3 trillion of debt.”
Huelskamp told National Review Online that he had basically decided when the deal was first announced that he would vote against it, but said other members were probably having second thoughts in light of the CBO report. “It’ll be interesting to see how folks vote when the cuts in here weren’t really cuts,” he said. “That will upset folks back home when they look at it. They thought freshmen were up here to change the way Washington operates, but this is the same-old same-old they’ve been doing for years.”
Rep. James Lankford (R., Okla.), also a freshman, told NRO that he was “planning to vote yes,” but had not yet reviewed the CBO report and other details of the bill, and said his vote was subject to change.
“If it’s smoke and mirrors, if we’re doing what we were critical of the other party doing before, yes it would [change my vote],” he said. “If it’s not genuine, then that’s not why we came. We came to make real cuts. We came to say we’ve got to get us back on balance, and if it’s smoke and mirrors than that’s not going to help.”
“The easy way out would be to vote for it at this point,” Lankford added. “All the momentum is voting for it. I understand that, and by the way, that may be the right thing to do. I’m not saying it isn’t, but I have the responsibility to look at the evidence and not just vote on what I hear on the news or what’s happening in the chamber.”
GOP leaders have expressed confidence they’ll be able to pass the bill, but they will almost certainly have to rely on Democratic votes to do so. Majority Leader Cantor on Tuesday said “we’ll pass this bill,” indicating that Rep. McCarthy was predicting “strong Republican support.” Also, influential conservative groups like Heritage Action and Club for Growth, which lobbied against a recent vote on a short-term continuing resolution that saw 54 Republican defections, have been conspicuously absent from the present debate.
National Journal has a running whip count on the CR, with so far 10 Republicans confirmed in the ‘no’ column. NRO can add two more — Reps. Huelskamp and Tom Graves (R., Ga.) — to that list, which contains as many Democrats as it does Republicans. House Minority Whip Steny Hoyer (D., Md.) has declined to indicate whether any Democrats would support the bill. Meanwhile, in the Senate, four Republicans — Ron Johnson, Rand Paul, Mike Lee and David Vitter — have already announced they will vote against the CR.
Andrew,
Last week you wrote a long Corner post entitled "Boehner Wins Big." Do you still stand by that post?
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbusePathetic. We have a president completely unserious about deficit reduction and a GOP leadership not far behind.
Vote NO! I can confirm that my local GOP congressman will vote no (he is not on that list linked to in the post). Talked to him yesterday, he predicted at least 60 GOP members will vote No.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseShut it down!
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseOh, but it's even worse. Now the CBO scores the actual cuts to be 353 million dollars. Let's see, 38.5 billion to 353 million...that's only a difference of how many thousand percent?
I'm reminded of Dr. Evil in the Austin Powers movie, who was going to hold the world ransom for one million dollars, until he was told that wasn't so much, these days, and raised the stakes to 100 billion. Except that Dr. Boehner lowered the stakes here.
Say, Mark Steyn had a post on the number of Barack Obama's on Linkedin. So, the question is, does NRO have another Andrew Stiles posting on NRO? This Andrew Stiles doesn't seem to be so hot on the spending cut deal.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseIf this is how the "battle" ended up, just exactly why were there these ridiculous histrionics from both sides. Do these folks in DC realize that we are starting to get irritated by them rubbing salt in the wound. What would happen if they actually ever cut anything? What a joke.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseBoehner should go. This is no change at all from the Hastert-DeLay days.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseAt first I was very supportive of the compromise. Now that I've learned that a huge portion of the cuts are BS, I no longer support it. A huge chunk of the cuts was money that was never going to be spent anyway. That's like saying a tax cut needs to be paid for.
Republicans are at grave risk of losing the base again. Hey Republicans, you remember what it was like when you lost us? Remember 2008? That's what 2012 will look like if you guys don't make SIGNIFICANT progress on the budget without raising a dime in taxes.
You also need to do a better job fighting back against Obama. You should make him out to be the fool he is for blaming this budget mess on Bush. That's the biggest load of garbage out there right now. Bush didn't create social security, he didn't create Medicare (though he did expand portions of it which certainly added to the problem) and he didn't create all of this new discretionary spending as well as entitlement spending through Obamacare. It's such a load of horse poo.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseSeems like the only real cuts in this deal was to the border fence.
What a farce. And what an indictment of DC-based "conservative" media. How many non-sensical editiorals and blog posts were telling us that "Boehner won big!". What a joke, I will never trust a word they say ever again.
Boehner HAS to go. Same with the entire House Leadership. It's do or die time for the GOP, and if these clowns continue to lead us it is over.
We desperately need new blood. Make Bachmann or Chaffetz speaker.
If this CR passes, I suspect the GOP is finished. Conservatives should start contemplating starting a 3rd party. Sad to say, but I have no faith whatsoever in the GOP any more.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseWhy, if we just had a cut 4,674 times the size of this one, we'd have a balanced federal budget for a single year.
Insignificant? Perhaps. But as I have heard from NRO and the Republican commentariat lately, at least it's a "step in the right direction." March onward Republican soldiers, you've got a long journey ahead of you!
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseKill the bill.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseI can't figure out if Boehner is trying to sell a pig in a poke, or got sold a pig in a poke. Either way, this thing is a pig. $38B in mostly pretend cuts. Way to go, John.
Doofus.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseIf the GOP house shoots down the CR then there's no way they'll escape being seen as the cause of the shutdown. If that happens expect to see some serious swing in independents away from the GOP. The memory of 1995 is deeply ingrained, it's a narrative, and it would be hard to challenge under the best of circumstances. An internal revolt by the "extremists" is not exactly the best of circumstances.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseI agree with Baner (incorrect spelling intended). Party loyalty uber allis. Come on Republicans, you let Bush had those gigantic debt-busting budgets. Why not do the same for Obama?
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseWe have two fundamental problems with federal budgeting:
1) The government is doing entirely too many things it has no Constitutional basis for. Reduce the national government to those handful of things it is actually supposed to do, and you eliminate the budget issue entirely.
2) The green-eye-shade bs. Why do we have all these different layers with outlays and authorizations and whatnot? Primarily because it obscures what is really going on. Why do we even talk in terms of 10 years? Because we are - sort of - voting on 10 years worth of ... something. But, we're not, because we're really voting on just this year (though it should be next year...). Why are we talking 4 trillion vs 38 billion? Is the 38 billion really spread over 10 years? Wait a minute... I thought that was just for this year?
To help balance the budget, reduce everything to 3 layers: authorization for this year, outlays for this year, intent for 10 years*. Get rid of all the bs accountant's tricks (no offense to accountants) and make it at least as simple as my household budget.
* I hope I have those labels correct.........
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