The news that the $61 billion 38.5 billion 14 billion historic 2011 budget cut actually cuts $352 million from the 2011 budget is in its way kind of impressive. As Congressman Huelskamp pointed out, that’s about what the government of the United States borrows in two hours. The joke re the original $38.5 billion deal was that, in the time it took to negotiate it, we added as much again in new debt (we’re borrowing about $4 billion a day). We didn’t know the half of it: Never mind negotiating, in the time it takes to type up the bill, we’ve borrowed as much as it “saves.” By the time this thing’s through, the cost of the Secret Service detail lugging the Obamaprompter to whichever grade school he announces the final definitive historic budget “cuts” at will be three times as much as any actual savings.
And yes, yes, I’ve heard all the insiders wearily explaining the fascinating differences between “spending,” “spending authority,” “spending authority rescission,” “spending authority rescission re-appropriation,” etc., but I wonder if Republicans are aware that the more they talk like that the more they sound like Nancy Pelosi for post-moderns: We have to pass the gargantuan bill so you can find out how little’s in it.
At some point, you have to close a cabinet department just to show you’re serious. Instead, the governing class is sending the message that the political institutions of the United States are so diseased they do not permit meaningful course correction.
The politicians in DC have all begun to sound not only like Nancy Pelosi - glad they didn't tell us we'd have to pass this CR to see what's in it. They are now beginning to sound like the newscasters who suddenly lapse into the word-salad world. Apparently every word they spout in a presser has been vetted by 456 lawyers so they can come back and tell us - that's not exactly what I said. Quit peeing on my leg and telling me it's raining guys!
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseScary, scary. There just is not any way the deficit will be lowered, let alone eliminated. As for the 14 trillion we owe--When are the lenders going to realize they can kiss that money goodbye. Though they will probably collect enough in interest to cover the principal.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseAre these people certain this is all they can do to crash the dollar & bring the country to it's knees? I mean surely there must be something they've forgotten.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseBy tomorrow morning I expect we'll learn our Republican toadies have cleverly negotiated an actual spending increase, having cleverly thwarted the evil Progressive's massive actual spending increase.
I met Boehner in October in a diner in Florida. My impression was he's a good dude. Now I'm wondering whether he's not a little bit too good.
We need an opposition that is harsh, steely and relentless. Unafraid.
Else We Are Doomed.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseIt's like a version of the old Soviet joke:
They pretend to cut spending, and we'll pretend to pay taxes...
screw'em - I feel no obligation to help this government.
Reply to this commentLinkReport Abuse"...the political institutions of the United States are so diseased they do not permit meaningful course correction."
Hasn't that been obvious for years? When was the last time anything was reformed and actually improved?
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseDon't worry Mark! I hear Speaker Boehner is set to propose the creation of the 'Department of Identification of Government Waste & Inefficiency', not to be confused with the new 'Czar of Unspent Funds Reallocation'. The department will be staffed with 500 bureaucrats, with annual budget increases of 10% per annum, who will root out unnecessary federal spending with all the gusto you'd expect from your friendly neighborhood mid-level bureaucrat. The Czar on the other hand will work tirelessly to make sure that any expiring temporary programs, unspent funds, & spending reductions in tax code are appropriately re-entered in the Congressional general ledger as cuts in spending.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseAh, Mr. Steyn, you are the finest. I enjoy your fine wit here as well.
But are we to trust the CBO at this time? Is this more damage control on behalf of the hapless Reid and Obama?
The AP offering seemed to indicate a supreme effort to diminish any cuts on behalf of the Democrats, who naturally wanted to increase spending even more.
Everyone wants more cuts on the fine Conservative Side, bigger - better - etc., but what exactly were the Republicans expected to get out of any deal with Democratic Partisans in control of the House and Senate?
Just what is an acceptable effort at this time?
The hyperbole has grown obscene from many fashionable sources on Our side. The vitriol is not only self destructive, but actually is not even conservative in manner. Some are even calling for Boehner to be removed. Is this productive? Is this sane?
After watching Boehner and Company for two years, sticking together, strongly opposing the Obama - Reid - Pelosi folly, it seems entirely unfair to suggest they are mere 'fools'.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseEven the GOP leaders think you can borrow your way out of debt and spend your way into prosperity.
Reply to this commentLinkReport Abuse"At some point, you have to close a cabinet department just to show you’re serious."
Absolutely. You can pretty much throw a dart to pick which one.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseI agree that we should take a machete to the Federal gov't. Based on the news this week I'd start with the school lunch program. There'd be so much wailing and gnashing of teeth over that it would be smooth sledding from there.
But, we aren't going to be cutting any cabinet depts with Harry Reid in the Majority Leader's seat and the big O in the WH.
So let's not eat our own, let's stick together like the lefties do. It took them 70 years to get us to the point we're at, is it at all reasonable to think it can be undone in 3 months?
All they need to win, all they've ever needed to win, is for us to be divided. And they know it and they seek to divide us at every turn.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseSpeaker Boehner should resign. Any Republican who votes for this should be subject to a primary challenge. This is outrageous.
Reply to this commentLinkReport Abuseholy 3 card monte, batman!
my somewhat successful 15 years on wall street and retired at 40 career taught me one thing and one thing only:
never; and i mean never, trust a middle aged man who tans.
you will get far in life trusting this advice.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseListening to Obama's comments on how a shutdown would impact real people; as he enumerated the impacts: small businesses won't get loans, people won't get mortgages, students won't get Loans, etc,
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseI had a Kurtz Apocolypse Now moment - like a diamond bullet through the forehead.
Every one of Obama's examples beg the question - why in the heck is government even involved in that. That's the darn problem. He and his ilk see those programs as what the government should be doing, when they are actually case studies of how government intervention into private market activities to make them "fairer" have resulted in the collapse of the private market and a complete government Anschluss.
The path the hell is paved with the bricks of good intentions ...
No meaningful change will come without commensurate social upheaval. If there are no riots in the streets, you know that nothing of consequence is happening.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseCalling these "cuts" a path to solvency is like a drunk spilling part of a beer and saying that's putting him on the road to sobriety. The lack of leadership is past apalling and and soon will be past catastrophic unless we voters oust more of the establishment next year.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseThe question to be discussed now, based on the joke of a response to the debt crises by the Dems, and the pitiful methods and tactics of the R’s, isn’t how to avoid going broke, it’s what does that truly mean?
There is no chance that we won’t continue to borrow money. The politicians know that throwing money around gives them power. The people, at least a voting majority, like all these programs, and don’t know/don’t care about the fact that we can’t afford where we’re going. So we will keep borrowing money. What then?
For a company that’s going broke, your debt rating goes down as your credibility towards paying it back goes down, at least theoretically. But we’re seen how bond ratings, like all things, are subject to influence peddling and manipulation. Which credit rater is going to be the first to downgrade US debt, and pull the plug from the vary system that’s making their company money? So the debt rating won’t fall.
I think you’ll see the people who actually buy these toxic assets (T-bills) start to realize that they are going to be a bad investment. You get a low rate of return, and very questionably long term ability to pay it back, plus the threat of inflation turning your return to far less that it was planned. So will debt auctions start to not sell things out?
The Treasure Department would then need to crank up the interest rate to make them worth the higher risk. This should snowball up, and people around the world begin to realize that these promissory notes are just that, promises. That’s the long, slow, burn out scenario – the gradual decline of our economy with high interest rates, and continued debt piling.
But worst case, is there a point where like all bubbles, things crash suddenly, where everyone trys to dump what they have before it goes down more? Find some sucker who’ll buy 100 bucks of T-bills for 50/40/20 dollars in something that has value? Unlike the petty economies of the world like Greece or Ireland, whose debt is a rounding error here, there’s no IMF big enough to bail out the USA. So then what?
So in summary, we either have a long, slow decline of high interest rates causing stunted growth, while we continue to pile up debt, at either a slightly slower rate due to interest costs, or possibly even a higher rate due to those same costs if we can’t control our need for free money. Or a sudden collapse of the USA debt structure, and most likely the rest of the word’s economy with it. Not a pretty choice.
But remember – corn, squash, and beans makes for a balanced diet. Get your seeds now.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseHmmmm...both Ryan and Obama propose to cut $4T from the federal budget over the next decade (10 years for Ryan, 12 years for Obama).
By my math, $4T over 12 years = $333 million per year cut
Obama's 2012 budget proposal from a couple of months ago called for $3.7T in spending.
$333M is 9% of $3.7T. Their "HUGE" spending reduction plan cuts a whopping 9% of spending.
Obama's 2012 budget projected around a $1.1T shortfall of income from that #3.7T spending level.
So, the "MASSIVE" cuts only reduces the deficient spending of 2012 by.....30%. We would still be adding $0.8T to the national debt if this all worked on a straigh lineral path (which is will not....less savings now for "supposed" more savings later).
This is NOT change you can believe in.
More needs to be done. SSA, Medicare, Medicaid and Welfare have to be overhauled for us to tame our spending.
I hope a political party steps up to the plate someday soon and realizes that...but I don't have high hopes.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseTo richbarnett: That's very funny. Boehner and Trump will slog it out for the newly emerging orange vote. I'll only add that you should never ever trust a middle age man who tans and cries at card tricks.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseHow many Republicans does it take to screw in a light bulb? None, you'd have to cut the electricity first.
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