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Which GOP Candidate Has the Best Job-Growth Record?

Who’s the best job creator of them all?

While all the GOP contenders are quick to hit the “jobs, jobs, jobs” mantra, the former governors running for president have very different records on job creation. According to a National Review Online analysis of seasonally adjusted employment data (looking at the total number of those employed) from the Bureau of Labor website, Gary Johnson has the best record of the official candidates, with a job-growth rate of 11.6 percent during his tenure.

But Johnson, who governed from 1995 to 2003, doesn’t overlap much with the other governors — Mitt Romney, Tim Pawlenty, and Jon Huntsman — who are running. Among the crowd who governed primarily during the 2000s, Huntsman has the best record. During his 2005 to 2009 tenure as governor of Utah, the number of jobs grew by 5.9 percent.

Mitt Romney and Tim Pawlenty have much weaker records. Romney, who governed Massachusetts from 2003 to 2007, had an overall job-growth rate of 1.6 percent. During Pawlenty’s time as governor of Minnesota (2003 to 2011), the number of jobs grew by an anemic 0.5 percent.

Rick Perry, who is flirting with a presidential run but has not yet announced his candidacy, had an overall job-growth rate of 12.5 percent from January 2001 (he was inaugurated as governor of Texas in late December 2000) to April of this year, the most recent month for which finalized numbers were available. 

Of course, some of these comparisons are apples to oranges; Pawlenty, Huntsman, and Perry, for instance, all were governors during the recession, while Romney and Johnson were not. State population changes could also play a role in determining whether a state’s employment numbers surge or decline.

So, what happens if you compare the governors over the same time period? Well, looking at Romney’s tenure from January 2003 to January 2007 shows that he achieved growth of 1.6 percent. Pawlenty had the same overall rate (1.6 percent) in Minnesota. In Texas, Perry achieved 7.2 percent growth.

During Huntsman’s tenure, January 2005 to August 2009, Utah had the best overall job-growth rate of any state in the nation. In that same time frame, Perry’s job-growth rate was 4.9 percent. Pawlenty’s job-growth rate was negative: The number of jobs in Minnesota decreased by 1.8 percent.

During Pawlenty’s tenure, January 2003 to January 2011, the overall job-growth rate was 0.5 percent. In that period, Perry (the only other governor to fully overlap with the two-term Pawlenty) hiked the number of jobs by 7.2 percent.

To be fair, even looking only at the same time periods ignores various factors (including the fact that Huntsman and Perry governed significantly more right-leaning states than Romney and Pawlenty) that impact job creation. But you’re sure to hear more about these numbers as the campaign progresses.

– Katherine Connell contributed to the research for this post.

New on The Corner. . .


COMMENTS   41

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Pshaw
   06/20/11 18:14

How many of those jobs that came about in Utah while Jon "Almost as far left as Obama" Huntsman was governor went to the illegal aliens that he encourages to stay -- against the law of the land -- in the US, and to whom he wants to give citizenship, despite the fact that hundreds of thousands of immigrants around the world patiently and lawfully wait years and years without ever obtaining a visa?

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Randy Hermonzenger
   06/20/11 18:20

Very interesting. I'm not sure why conservatives are writing off Jon Huntsman. He has a great record on jobs, has come out in support of a balanced-budget amendment and the Ryan plan, and is very electable.

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Randy Hermonzenger
   06/20/11 18:22

So Huntsman has a great record on jobs, cut taxes, is pro-life, backs the Ryan plan and a balanced budget amendment, but he's somehow a RINO? Seems like a conservative to me.

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   06/20/11 18:23

Doesn't this depend on the premise that any jobs that appear in a state are to be credited to whoever is governor at the time? I can think of quite a few factors that would have more effect on job creation. Taxes, regulatory environment, cost of living, which industries reside in that particular state, etc.

Unless the governor has a particular cause-and-effect connection with these things (for example, was instrumental in lowering taxes) there isn't much of a connection. Heck, a governor could come into a state that has a good business environment and succeed just by sitting on his hands. Not that there's anything wrong with that.

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   06/21/11 06:40

Exactly right -- that the obviously flawed premise of this piece could make it past NR's editors, when TB here noticed it immediately, is mind-boggling.

Not to say TB isn't brilliant, but ....

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redsquare
   06/20/11 18:29

Palin is as much of candidate as Perry - no statistics available?

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   06/20/11 18:57

Sarah Palin governed (for 29 short months) a state that was so sparsely populated (663K) that it would be the 8th largest city in Texas, placing after Ft. Worth's 741K residents.

Palin may eventually become a candidate, but she clearly isn't half the candidate that Texas (pop. 25M) Governor Rick Perry would be.

BTW, Alaska's population is just 100K larger than the population of Michelle Bachmann's 6th MN Congressional district. THAT is how unpopulated Alaska is.

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   06/20/11 21:28

And Governor Palin did not sign legislature permitting illegal aliens to receive instate tuition rates. Yes, Perry is the answer, right. This anyone but Palin circus is beyond pathetic.

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   06/20/11 18:35

The variables of states, years, congressional makeups, taxes, geography, etc., are extreme enough that any meanful comparison is impossible, nor does any particular state translate well to the country as a whole.

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   06/20/11 18:47

Always nice to play the "my record means nothing" card. So Romney can say he governed in a liberal state and was able to accomplish Romneycare and no job growth, but that means nothing, because it was a liberal state.

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   06/20/11 22:24

Huh? I haven't heard any candidate play any "my record means nothing" card. In fact, I don't recall any candidate ever playing that card.

I'm just saying that comparisons where the variables are so broad is basically apples to oranges. Rick Perry did great on jobs in Texas, but the US ain't Texas. Same with Huntsman in Utah. Doesn't mean Perry or Huntsman can produce jobs for the whole country, nor does it mean someone on the lower end of job production in his or her state can't.

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   06/20/11 18:36

Rick Perry isn't flirting with a presidential run, the Texas Governor is doing a serious courtship of the American public.

All indications are an engagement party is soon to be announced.

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   06/20/11 18:50

Q: "Who’s the best job creator of them all?"

A: "The private sector."

None of these governors created any jobs, net and long-term. Government doesn't create jobs; government doesn't grow the pie.

One can argue about which of these governors did the best job of keeping his or her state government the hell out of the private sector's way. That's a useful question.

But I look forward to the day when contributors to NRO and NR will join me in eliminating this misleading language which suggests that any politician "creates jobs."

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   06/21/11 06:44

Exactly right. Mr. Dyer is dead on, and I can't believe NR's editors let this piece through. Mitt Romney, at Bain Capital, helped to fund and otherwise turnaround several businesses that created thousands of productive, customer-focused, economy-enhancing jobs.

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ColbyIA
   06/21/11 12:33

I think Gov. Gary Johnson would agree with this without a breathe of hesitation.

He eliminated over 1000 jobs from the NM state government during his tenure....the growth definitely wasn't in government.

Gary Johnson 2012

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Chris Rhodes
   06/23/11 17:02

External Link 

“Don’t get me wrong,” Johnson said in a statement. “We are proud of this distinction. We had a 11.6 percent job growth that occurred during our two terms in office. But the headlines that accompanied that report – referring to governors, including me, as ‘job creators’ – were just wrong.”

“The fact is, I can unequivocally say that I did not create a single job while I was governor,” Johnson added. Instead, “we kept government in check, the budget balanced, and the path to growth clear of unnecessary regulatory obstacles.”

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   06/20/11 18:50

How about Herman Cain? I know he wasn't a governor, but how about taking into account the other candidates who do have experience with job creation, especially the type of private sector job growth that we're dying for right now?

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Han Solo
   06/20/11 19:13

What this sillIness fails to take into account is that government does NOT have the ability create jobs, They only destroy them by trying to 'fix stuff'. The more government does the more it hurts.

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   06/20/11 20:21

Government can create an environment that is attractive to business, or it can stifle business.

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