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Raise the Debt Limit, but Only with Conditions

As Andrew Stiles mentioned yesterday, House Speaker John Boehner is insisting that the House will not vote to increase the debt limit unless the Dems agree to (1) no tax increases, (2) spending cuts as great as the proposed debt-limit increase, and (3) budget reforms “that will restrict Washington’s ability to spend in the future.” If by the latter he means a constitutional amendment that would impose a balanced budget and strict limits on spending and taxes, some concession on other fronts would be worth it. It would be especially wrong for the GOP to insist on no new taxes at the expense of a constitutional amendment, considering that current levels of taxation are only about half of current spending, insanely enough. The problem here isn’t taxes — it’s the deficit, the debt, and the spending. 

Speaker Boehner should tie agreement on the debt-limit increase to passage of Senate Joint Resolution 10, a superb proposal for constitutional amendment that would provide long-term, permanent, and sustainable solutions to virtually every fiscal problem we’re facing now. Passing it out of Congress and getting it to the states for ratification as soon as possible should be an overriding priority of the current debt-limit talks. Filed earlier this year by 47 GOP senators, the amendment would require Congress to pass a balanced budget; federal courts could enforce the amendment only through across-the-board spending cuts. The resolution would hold spending to 18 percent of the previous year’s GPD, which would keep federal spending under the historical “revenue-maximizing” point of federal taxation. It would require supermajorities for increases in taxes and the national debt. The exceptions are extremely strict. The resolution calls for ratification by legislatures in three-fourths of the States, in accordance with Article V of the Constitution, and would go into effect five years after ratification. After the last two years of aggressive federal expansion, much of which has come at the expense of the states’ autonomy and fiscal health, there can be little doubt that most states would ratify the amendment quickly.  

The only question is how hard it would be to get from the 30-something easy states to the 38 required for adoption. But if comes down to only a handful of states, millions of fiscally conservative moderates and independents are likely to join conservative in mounting the campaign of the century to ensure the amendment’s adoption. The country has perhaps never been so hungry for some way to stop the relentless expansion of the federal government. 

Though we call it a “balanced-budget amendment,” by far the resolution’s most important feature is its limitation on spending to 18 percent of the prior year’s GDP. One result of this provision is that the major entitlement programs — Medicare, Medicaid, and Social Security, which are projected to eat up all federal revenue in a matter of decades — would have to be replaced with sustainable alternatives sooner rather than later. It would not be question of “if,” but only of “when,” and the answer would be “soon.”  

Last month, I did an analysis of S.J. Res. 10 for the Texas Public Policy Foundation. The survey contains a detailed section-by-section analysis of the proposed constitutional amendment, along with a detailed history of the growth in federal spending over the past 100 years. A constitutional amendment is necessary in part because the federal government has shattered most of the Constitution’s restrictions on its growth and power. S.J. Res. 10 would ensure that the federal government could control at most one-fifth of the economy.  

The national debt is a long-term problem. Let’s focus on a long-term solution.

— Mario Loyola is director of the Center for Tenth Amendment Studies at the Texas Public Policy Foundation

New on The Corner. . .


COMMENTS   9

EXPAND  

 sam
   06/26/11 21:45

Let's start by increasing taxes for those who advocate tax increases.

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   06/26/11 21:52

If Republicans accept tax hikes for this, they will be agreeing with Democrats that lack of tax revenue is what partly lead to the deficits. We do not undertaxed in this country.

I think a constituional admendment placing a limit on spending is a pipe dream, but if it was implemented, what's to stop Congres from violating it?

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 sam
   06/26/11 21:59

Debt is not the problem. Spending is.

Politicians will never be content with any level of taxation. They will always want more money. Because more money buys more votes and controls more voters.

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Mark Quentin Rhoads
   06/26/11 22:02

We tried a very similar amendment written by Milton Friedman in 1986. It needed 66 votes and one Republican voted no. It was Sen. Mark Hatfield (RINO-Oregon) Mitch McConnell cannot deliver all the GOP votes in the Senate for this and Barack Obama cannot deliver enough Democratic votes to reach 66. It is too complicated for most people to understand due to the spending limit based on a percentage of GDP. That was Milton's idea which was a good one in theory but cannot muster support in real world politics. Obama has no role to play as president in a constitutional amendment and neither do the governors because they do not sign or veto the resolutions. All Obama could do if he wanted to is whip votes and maybe not even that.

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Mark Phillips
   06/26/11 22:42

What a stupid amendment is that!? The whole point of our form of government is that we elect representatives that come from the entire spectrum of the country. They come up with solutions that most can live with and if the voters don't like them, they elect new representatives. This amendment basically hardwires all decisions and governance. This sounds like the solution that a parent presents to a child, not a form of government for a population of adults.

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   06/26/11 22:50

I don't see a Constitutional Amendment as a realistic part of the deal. First of all, proposed Amendments need to be carefully drafted and analyzed and debated - we're not just changing the wallpaper, it's the Constitution. We don't have time to do that prudently before the debt ceiling problem reaches critical mass, and relying on Democratic promises of future actions for current concessions has ALWAYS backfired.

Plus, it requires a 2/3 vote in both House and Senate. Given the leftist composition of today's Democratic Party, what makes anyone think there won't be 146 House Dems or 34 in the Senate to block it?

Take the cuts in exchange for a debt ceiling hike, agree to immediately take up tax reform to simplify the code for all and eliminate most deductions, and introduce the BBA and begin hearings as soon as practicable, with the eye to making it a campaign issue if the Democrats stall.

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   06/26/11 23:41

I sure wish Boehner was this adamant about spending when he presided over one of the most liberal governments in history. The sooner he takes responsibility for his part in this fiasco, the sooner we'll get a real solution.

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   06/27/11 00:37

It is not a long term solution. It is not a solution at all. It is a drunk taking another swig with his left hand as he pledges not to with the other. It is a meaningless gimick that settles no priorities, cuts no actual spending, decides nothing, and binds no one to anything.

Just grow up and cut spending already. Stop promising to do it tomorrow or to be really serious about it or all the usual pointless grandstanding soundbite gimicks.

If you can't actually pass a budget that cuts spending, what on earth do you think you are accomplishing with this empty noise?

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Jim Slade
   06/27/11 09:24

Even if this amendment can make it through Congress, Mr. Loyola's optimism about ratification is a bit excessive. State governments have come to rely on Uncle Sam's ability to borrow and print money as a way around their balanced-budget obligations. The relationship has come to resemble that of junkies to drug pushers. Getting the amendment ratified by 30 states, let alone 38, will be a big challenge. This amendment might be a good idea, but passage and ratification are too speculative to justify major concessions just to get it to the Senate floor.

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