FWIW

by Ramesh Ponnuru

. . . which may not be much: While procrastinating on an article for NR, I ran the Intrade numbers to see the implied prediction of the likelihood that a candidate, if nominated, would win the general election. Results:

Bachmann 36 percent

Huntsman 43 percent

Pawlenty 48 percent

Perry 37 percent

Romney 46 percent

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