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Can It Pass? An Update


House GOP leaders urged unity at a Tuesday morning conference meeting. When they meet again this evening, leaders will be scrambling to explain away a suspect scoring from the Congressional Budget Office, which could scare away a number of undecided votes. Boehner’s office says a re-write of the legislation is underway.

Meanwhile, here’s the latest whip count. House Republicans need less than 25 defections if they hope to pass the bill without any Democratic support:

Confirmed NO:

  • Rep. Jim Jordan (R., Ohio), RSC chair
  • Rep. Tom Graves (R., Ga.)
  • Rep. Louis Gohmert (R., Texas)
  • Rep. Jason Chaffetz (R., Utah)
  • Rep. Tim Huelskamp (R., Kan.)
  • Rep. Jeff Landry (R., La.)
  • Rep. Dennis Ross (R., Fla.)
  • Rep. Joe Walsh (R., Ill.)
  • Rep. Phil Gingrey (R., Ga.)
  • Rep. Paul Broun (R., Ga.)
  • Rep. Jeff Flake (R., Ariz.)

Leaning NO:

  • Rep. Trey Gowdy (R., S.C.)
  • Rep. Steve King (R., Iowa)
  • Rep. Tom Rooney (R., Fla.)

Presumed NO (voted against “Cut, Cap and Balance”):

  • Rep. Ron Paul (R., Texas)
  • Rep. Michele Bachmann (R., Minn.)
  • Rep. Francisco Canseco (R., Texas)
  • Rep. Scott DesJarlais (R., Tenn.)
  • Rep. Morgan Griffith (R., Va.)
  • Rep. Walter Jones (R., N.C.)
  • Rep. Connie Mack (R., Fla.)

Total NO count: 21

Members who are “still considering”:

  • Rep. Scott Garrett (R., N.J.), member of RSC leadership
  • Rep. Mike Pence (R., Ind.)
  • Rep. Bill Huizenga (R., Mich.)

Possible YES Democrats (supported “Cut, Cap and Balance”):

  • Rep. Dan Boren (D., Okla.) is a “no comment.”
  • Rep. Jim Cooper (D., Tenn.) ?
  • Rep. Jim Matheson (D., Utah) ?
  • Rep. Mike McIntyre (D., N.C.) ?
  • Rep. Heath Shuler (D., N.C.) is a “no.”

Senate Republican NO’s:

  • Sen. Rand Paul (R., Ky.)
  • Sen. Jim DeMint (R., S.C.)
  • Sen. Lindsey Graham (R., S.C.)
  • Sen. David Vitter (R., La.)
  • Sen. Mike Lee (R., Utah)

Note: Rep. Devin Nunes (R., Calif.), a “yes” vote who is close to leadership, sounded fairly optimistic that the Boehner plan could pass the House, telling reporters that the whip count “is getting close.” He seemed concerned however, when someone mentioned the number of GOP defections in the Senate.


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