Right now the GOP base is still ravenous for red meat. But it seems to me that if the times keep getting evermore interesting (to borrow a Chinese proverbial formulation) the red meat might become less appetizing. Things are getting so ugly so fast, there may come a point — soon — when the nominees need to show they can reassure people, markets, etc. not just throw elbows.
Personally, I’d like to see Michele Bachmann show she can be a bit more presidential. It’s an odd-place for the near front-runner to be that Ron Paul seems more reassuring. If I were advising her, I’d tell her to go into the upcoming Iowa debate with the demeanor of a president-in-waiting (Hillary Clinton, who was more concerned about sexist double standards than Bachmann is, had that poise down). She should go after Obama more in sadness than in anger. If I were advising Pawlenty I’d hammer the idea that the country doesn’t need any more drama, it needs calm, serious leadership to steady the ship of state (“leadership only Tim Pawlenty can provide”). I have to say I wouldn’t tell Romney to change much of anything. I think he’s handled himself very well so far. His lack of leadership on the debt issue was cynical but smart. As for the others, I’m not sure how many of them are playing to win at this point. If I were advising Newt, I’d tell him to work overtime creating that time machine so he can go back and start over.
Also, without going the full-Huntsman, a bit more presidential-level leadership will probably buy some favorable mainstream media coverage as well.
Anyway, it just seems to me that if the chaos continues, the market for GOP bomb throwing will shrink and intensify. That means while the base of the base will want more, the majority of the majority will want less.
Sage advice from our Jonah.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseIf the heat gets turned down and we join hands we can hope for solutions to our problems as effective as the recent Debt limit extension.
(oy vey)
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseI think we can throw red meat and still be reassuring. The mere act of lobbing facts about the debt, business, and the economy IS red meat and with our candidates' proven experience in business we SHOULD provide needed reassurances that things can be better. Cake and eating it too...
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Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseI've been saying this same thing here in the Corner for the past couple of weeks.
A lot of GOP voters look at this election as a chance to defeat Obama and a chance to advance conservative values.
*I* look at this election as one of the last chances America has to fix the entitlement state before it destroys it all.
Meaning, a vote for Ron Paul or Michelle Bachmann might feel darn good, but at the end of the day-- that day being January 20th, 2013-- that person needs to be President of the United States.
I shake my head, hasn't the Obama experience taught the Right anything? The Presidency isn't a jobs-training program, it's not a reward for giving the best speech. It's a *job*, one that you should hopefully have some experience and political talent before you enter.
If we hired presidents instead of elected them, no one would have hired Barack Obama based on his resume.
We're going into a serious crisis, the most serious crisis America has faced since the end of the Cold War. The War on Terror, as bad as it is, isn't a existential threat; the collapse of the American-- and global-- economy is.
We don't need a great campaigner. We've all seen how that doesn't work. We need someone who can SOLVE these problems, or at least LEAD others who can solve them-- folks like Paul Ryan, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, etc.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseAt the end of the day, the only "experience" that can help you be POTUS is... being POTUS.
Being a state governor is great, but Carter, Clinton, and Dubya show that having been a state governor doesn't make you a great President.
Being a Senator... well, the current President show that experience isn't enough.
The problem with Bambi is not his lack of experience but his Leftism. A more "experienced" Leftist (say, Al Gore or John Kerry) would have done much the same thing as Bambi for much the same reasons. I'll take an "inexperienced" believer in free-market capitalism over an "experienced" Leftist any day.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseFor me, I believe that the willingness to surround yourself with competant advisers, and secondly to listen to them is much more important than executive experience.
The Presidency is a job that is too big for one man. It takes a competant team to fully execute the job. This was one of Reagan's strengths, he set the policy and the tone, then left it up to those who worked for him to fill in the deatails.
It was one of Carter's greatest weaknesses. I read once that he actually reviewed the daily schedule for the White House tennis court. A person who gets lost in the details will always be an ineffective president.
Another vital characteristic is the willingness to admit that you were wrong and to change course.
Obama does not have this ability. From Mitt's unwillingness to admit that RomneyCare was a mistake, it appears that he doesn't have that ability either.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseI agree that ideology matters, but not all of Obama's mistakes are due to ideology-- he's also an awful executive who abdicates hard decisions.
All things beinq equal, I'm comfortable sacrificing a slice of ideological purity in exchange for basic executive competence & leadership.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseWhy is Romney even a thought? He thought RomneyCare was a good solution for Mass. That's all I need to know about his decision making and views on personal responsibility. Buh-bye Mitt.
Reply to this commentLinkReport Abuse"Hillary Clinton, who was more concerned about sexist double standards than Bachmann is, had that poise down"
And that really served her well as she won the primaries....oh wait, nevermind
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseHillary did tend to win the primaries, particularly in the big swing states needed for the general election. Barackus Obamus outhustled her in the little caucus states, most of which were default GOP wins anyway. If she'd done a better job organizing in places like WV she'd have sewn it up before he even got in it.
Reply to this commentLinkReport Abuse"....will probably buy some favorable mainstream media coverage as well."
This, Jonah, is a fool's errand. I'm surprised you would suggest still even playing this game....
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseThat's good advice (and my hunch is that there's better-than-even odds that Newt will be taking your advice on how to best spend his time).
The more I think about next year's election and the nature of our current crisis, however, the more I'm convinced there's just one right answer:
Paul Ryan.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseThere will be a part of the electorate that will not enjoy the din of battle. That is always true. They are also the people who sway in the wind and will collaborate with anyone who offers illusions of safety. What will they do when safety is not an option?
It is becoming impossible to ignore the fact that the Nanny State is on life support, world-wide. Its lifeline has been a sequence of unlimited promises that cannot be fulfilled in a real world of finite resources. This fact is not ideological. It only takes kitchen math to figure out that an economy that grows at G% a year will inevitably be destroyed by a government that grows at T% a year, when T is greater than G.
If we allow this to persist, whether through inaction or tepid consensus that only delays the inevitable, there will be a real calamity that affects more than markets. Left unaltered, when the Nanny State finally gives up the ghost and the real decay sets in, it will be far worse than just the bad order.
Is it really "bomb-throwing" when one tries to warn people of imminent upheaval?
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseI know folks @ the Corner don't pay attention to Palin until the lefties point something out to them.
But there was a pretty good take down of Obama and a plan forward just the other day from someone sounding like a leader... Funny, it didn't make NRO... but Romney saying nothing and doing nothing and leading nowhere is described as "smart"... Interesting.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseThat's the establishment, you know the ones that paved the way for 15 trillion plus in debt. The ones embarrassed by the tea party, and heaven knows they still think McCain was the man except for Palin. They still think being ambiguous makes you presidential. I'm still waiting for their updates on the other "good" war, Libya.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseThe GOP establishment (and unfortunately NRO) have adopted position "if we ignore her she'll go away" because all of the "anyone but Palin" candidates are spectacular failures. Bill Bennett, who I used to respect, now even started talking Daniels and Huckabee re-entering the race, in between his pining for Perry. We'll see how well this misguided strategy worked soon enough. I expect announcement on August 29.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseSay what you will. They did ignore Palin and she did go away. Does anybody expect she will run anymore?
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseYes.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseThat makes one.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbusePretending that The Man is trying to keep Palin down is embarrassing.
Sarah Palin is a big girl, I don't think she needs her supporters to agitate for some sort of conservative fairness doctrine on the internet.
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