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Reading Rick Perry

I’ve been reading Rick Perry’s book, Fed Up! Our Fight to Save America from Washington. You should read it too. A thoughtful argument for reviving federalism and taming our out-of-control welfare state, Fed Up! also helps makes sense of Perry the man and the phenomenon. The book provides enough context to defuse what are sure to be a long line of bogus attacks on Perry, while also setting up a legitimate argument about the size and purpose of government. Fed Up! is going to help build Perry a mass following. It’s certain to ignite a series of bitter anti-Perry attacks as well. More than your typical campaign book, Fed Up! is going to play a role in the 2012 presidential election.

Too Texas — that’s the political knock on Perry. Will a gun-toting evangelical with a Texas drawl be able to reach suburban soccer-moms in the Midwest? Far from being naive on this point, Perry places it at the center of his philosophy. He rests much of his argument for federalism on America’s diverse local cultures. For a country forged from ethnically and religiously varied immigrant communities, federalism was the solution, Perry reminds us. With religious and cultural variety on the increase, Perry argues, federalism — not racial or ethnic bean-counting — remains the way.

So while Perry may want to be the president of us all, his real goal is to let Midwesterners and New Englanders develop, say, local K-12 curriculum standards or energy regulations with as little interference from Washington as possible. Since Californians want to legalize medical marijuana, says Perry, the Supreme Court ought not to have allowed Congress to override that state law — even though California’s policy was not to his personal liking. Perry, in other words, isn’t trying to remake the country in the image of Texas. His real argument is that federal efforts to press Texas into a single, national cultural and economic mold have deepened his respect for local differences — and for the Founders’ system of protecting those differences. If Perry can make that point to Midwestern soccer-moms, he can win.

Perry’s support for constitutional amendments on marriage and abortion doesn’t contradict his basic federalist stance, since the Founders allowed for the adoption of such national policies in cases where a very high bar of multi-state approval could be met. Even so, the fact that the political parties now differ so profoundly on some key cultural issues means that almost any possible presidential match-up is going to have an element of cultural either/or. Still, if Perry can bring across the cultural rationale of his broader federalist stance, he may be able to flip the Texas issue into a positive with many skeptical voters.

Perry’s case for federalism goes hand in hand with his argument for paring back what has become an unaffordable welfare state. Federal taxes siphon off resources from the states, says Perry, only to turn that money into a de facto system of bribery for enforcing national standards on reluctant localities. You can have your tax money back, say the feds — for education, health, etc. — but only if you play it our way. What’s a governor to do? Turn down the money and you’re excoriated as heartless. Accept the funding and you’ve swallowed curriculum guidelines or regulatory policies your state doesn’t want. So, Perry asks, why not cut federal taxes and let the states work things out on their own?

The real controversy comes when Perry suggests that, in an ideal world, even sacred cows like Social Security and Medicare might have been better run by the states. In any case, says Perry, we have to recognize that our entitlement system is headed for bankruptcy, and will therefore have to be reformed in substantial ways.

So what’s the big deal? Aren’t most conservatives and Republicans talking like that nowadays? Absolutely. But Perry’s critique of our entitlement system is very sharp — in a couple senses of that word — and is part of a systematic attack on the welfare state that runs all the way back to Roosevelt’s New Deal. Perry may feel freer to speak boldly because he grew up as a New Deal Democrat himself. Like many contemporary conservatives, Perry is out to puncture the myth that the New Deal saved America from the Depression. Recognizing that the roots of the modern welfare state were flawed, says Perry, opens our eyes to the need for reform today.

All this will be loudly excoriated by Democrats. Perry is going to be portrayed as an extremist who wants to kill Social Security and Medicare. In fact, Perry doesn’t call for that. What he does say is that we’ve got to face up to the fact that our entitlements are headed off a financial cliff, and will therefore have to be substantially reformed. Perry sees Fed Up! as a wake-up call, part of a national conversation about entitlements we now have to undertake.

But let’s meet the “extremist who wants to kill entitlements” charge more directly. The truth is, Perry’s stance on the need for significant entitlement reform isn’t fundamentally different from the position of Republicans generally– witness the Ryan plan. If anything, Paul Ryan is more explicit about what actually needs to be done than Perry. Of course, that won’t stop the Democrats from trying to portray Perry, Ryan, and the entire Republican party as a bunch of crazy extremists for wanting to reform entitlements at all.

You can argue that the history of the New Deal is best left in peace, since those old battles have long been resolved. The problem is that new demographic realities are forcing us to reopen seemingly settled questions. The smaller size of the post-baby-boom generations mean that the current welfare state can only be sustained by huge tax increases, and the expansion of the federal role in our lives that is sure to follow.

So we increasingly face a fundamental societal choice. Either we try to sustain our soon-to-be-bankrupt entitlements by transforming ourselves into a European-style welfare state, or we pare back the New Deal/Great Society system and re-invigorate traditional free-enterprise and/or federalist solutions. Perry, Ryan, and the Republican party as a whole are simply recognizing and responding to that fundamental choice. Standing still is no longer an option. Even Pres. George W. Bush, supposedly more moderate than Perry, ran on fundamental Social Security reform — including privatization — in 2004.

I agree with Avik Roy that Perry’s best move would be to get more explicit, not less, about how he might reform entitlements. That would put unfounded charges of extremism to rest. The truth is that Perry’s concerns about entitlements are well within the Republican mainstream, and have been for some time. What Perry adds to the mix is clarity, passion, and years of on-the-ground experience with a system that badly needs fixing.

Fed Up! is going to be a factor in the 2012 election campaign. It crystallizes and deepens Perry’s appeal, explodes silly caricatures and, like it or not, is about to take our already super-hot national debate on the fate of the welfare state to the next level.

New on The Corner. . .


COMMENTS   17

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   08/22/11 13:47

Perry seems to be taking different advice:

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Christopher M
   08/22/11 13:49

I think Perry can talk a good game, but I'm not confident he will aggressively persue scaling back the size of government, if elected.

I fear a redux of the Bush/Republican 2002-2006 era. Republicans controlled the Congress, Senate, President, yet acheived no major victories for small government. Bush tried at a token level (his social security reform), but gave up after meeting initial resistance.

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   08/22/11 14:17

Presidents cannot shrink government, only the Congress can shrink the size of government. Look at Reagan, arguably the strongest conservative ever elected to any position of government; Govenment grew is size during his Executive tenure in both California and the federal government.

If you want to shrink government, conservatives are going to need to expand their conservative base in the House, and retake the Senate with a comfortable governing majority - probably 61-63 seats. Unless and until that happens, government is going to continue to expand irrespective of the ideological leanings of the President.

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Timbuktu
   08/22/11 13:51

If Perry were really serious about slimming down the size of the state and cutting back on welfare/entitlements, he would have a dramatically different position on illegal immigration.

His current pro-amnesty/open borders position means de facto that he is aiding and abetting one of the greatest drivers of welfare spending and growth of the lower-income strata of society.

The illegal immigration that Perry continues to encourage (has he had a single positive thing to say about AZ's SB1070?) IS the Great Society of our time. It is the biggest driver of the welfare state (aside from Baby Boomers, but I think most of us are less upset about the state as provider of benefits when it's going to the aged and infirm, rather than anchor babies and those entering the country illegally).

Not coincidentally, Texas is a state with a substantial deficit these days, you might also note. It's no New York, but it's not good, either.

Until Perry pivots on illegal immigration, any fiscal conservatism claims he makes are those of a pretender.

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   08/22/11 14:32

Timbuktu,
Your claim that Perry favors amnesty and open borders is simply wrong. Perry has never taken either position.
As for the AZ law, he fully supported AZ's right to pass it and enforce it. I would think that could be considered a positive thing.
Also, Texas is not running a deficit. The budget is balanced, as it has been under every year of Perry's tenure, and as required by the Texas Constitution.
The state does have some debt obligations, which S&P has certified to be quite modest. Those are debts accumulated via bonds dealing with long-term projects which in every instance were approved by Texas voters at the ballot box. That is the standard way that things like highways are constructed. Most people do not pay cash up front for a house and state governments do not require taxpayers to foot the entire bill for a 20-year highway project in one calendar year.
If you don't like Perry and prefer another candidate, that's fine. But you lose all credibility with this kind of fanciful attack.

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   08/22/11 19:15

Gov. Perry was told in 2008 or so that unless he and the legislature made serious efforts on state finances, Texas would show a $22-25Billion deficit for the next bi-enial period. Perry used federal stimulus funds (!) last year, and this year had to slash $27Billions so as to balance the budget. Most of this fell on school districts, which are already among the worst in the nation. see:

"Texas lawmakers had to close an enormous $27 billion budget deficit this year. Amazingly, only about a third of it was caused by the economic downturn. The state has had a chronic shortage of revenue after years of slashing property and business taxes and creating numerous tax breaks and exemptions. Conservative governors have slashed state services to the bone, so there was no more fat to cut from the budget."

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irobot
   08/22/11 13:52

Re constitutional ammendments - what's he up to now? 7? Or is it 10?

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   08/22/11 15:18

He favors a human life amendment, a marriage amendment, and a balanced budget amendment -- just as all the other major Republican candidates do.

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   08/22/11 14:12

I doubt anyone on the left takes the time to read Perry's book. They're not concerned about understanding conservative ideas. It's just easier to call GOPers dumb, racist, and extreme.

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chriss4
   08/22/11 15:31

^Because making a broad generalization about liberal close-mindedness comes from a sincere attempt to understand progressive ideals.

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   08/22/11 17:03
   08/22/11 15:21

"Perry, Ryan" - I'd vote for that

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   08/22/11 15:49

I've been trying to get a signed copy of _Fed Up_ for weeks now. It is IMPOSSIBLE. He will be the 2012 nominee. But what about Mitt you ask? You can get his book for $35 signed on almost every major site. In the world of collectible books Mitt is a "sell" where as Perry appears to be a "buy and hold".

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 Jay
   08/22/11 16:10

I'm disappointed no one has yet thrown the "Perry doesn't sound like he could read a book let alone write one" bomb yet. This place is getting too classy.

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   08/22/11 16:17

Inasmuch as he speaks the truth, any attention given to it has the potential to be helpful.

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   08/22/11 16:20

So, Perry is now walking back his book, saying it's not a look forward, and his campaign is not based on it....after only a week of campaigning on it......

a-yup, and a jack-a-lope is an animal in Texas, too....

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Bulldog 82
   08/22/11 16:58

"Perry, in other words, isn’t trying to remake the country in the image of Texas". No, his goal is to ensure that Texas isn't remade in the image of New York or California or New Jersey or ...

One item that seems to be neglected in our excoriation of the Fed's "one-size-fits-all" solutions. What is the percentage of the money allocated to a Federal program that gets siphoned off by administrative costs in the Federal behemoth? Block grants could be the answer (with minimal performance standards/goals). This would save us the bulk of the costs of the beast. Keep a few accountants to push the buttons, allocate the money by population and get out of the way. Hire one of the Big 4 accounting firms to perform audits every 5-years. Re-authorize programs every 10-years (based on effectiveness). Of course, DOE (both of them) would go because they are totally ineffective at their stated goals.

This will never happen because money isn't just the lifeblood of politics. Money is Power!

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