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What Does Rabbani’s Assassination Mean?

Suicide bombers on Tuesday evening assassinated Burhanuddin Rabbani, a former Afghan president and the chairman of the High Peace Council, at his residence in a high security area just 100 meters from the U.S. embassy in Kabul. Masoom Stanekzai, President Karzai’s key strategist for reconciliation efforts, was also seriously injured. The attack came just a week after Taliban militants launched a complex raid on the U.S. embassy, NATO headquarters, and police stations, which paralyzed the Afghan capital for 20 hours and killed more than two dozen people.

The recent spike in Taliban violence and assassinations of senior Afghan leaders has called into question both the terrorist group’s willingness for a negotiated settlement and the Afghan government’s readiness to assume security responsibilities as foreign troops withdraw. Kabul was among the seven areas that transitioned to an Afghan security lead last July.

Afghan officials say that Rabbani and Stanekzai were holding a “peace meeting” with two insurgent commanders when a bomber — most probably one of the visitors — detonated explosives hidden in his turban.

Karzai, who is in New York for the annual U.N. General Assembly and was scheduled to meet President Obama to discuss a strategic agreement between Kabul and Washington, has cut his trip short to return to Kabul.

Almost a year ago, Karzai set up the council to start peace talks with the Taliban, but the council has made little headway. The Taliban leadership has rejected negotiations and responded with violence to Kabul’s gestures and one-sided concessions, such as release of prisoners and offer of senior positions in the government. Frustrated by Taliban’s refusal to enter talks, Rabbani had recently changed his soft tone and accused the Taliban of defaming Islam and using children for suicide attacks.

Rabbani was leader of Jamiat-e Islami, the second largest mujahedeen group that fought against the Soviets in the 1980s, and served as president from 1992 until the Taliban captured Kabul four years later. He then led the Northern Alliance, a coalition of Tajiks, Uzbeks, Hazaras, and some Pashtuns, against the Taliban until late 2001.  

His killing is the latest in a series of assassinations of key Afghan leaders by the Taliban in recent months, such as Ahmed Wali Karzai, the president’s brother, and Gen. Daud Daud, the police chief for northern Afghanistan and a prominent member of the Northern Alliance.

Today’s assassinations will increase resentment and anxiety among other Northern Alliance leaders who oppose political deals with the Taliban and accuse Karzai of cozying up to the terrorists. Ethnic minorities in the north and central Afghanistan have already begun rearming as Kabul and Washington have stepped up efforts to make a compromise with the Taliban to end the war. Rabbani’s death is likely to widen ethnic divides in Afghanistan and hasten rearming efforts that could trigger a civil war once the foreign troops leave the country by 2014. It is time for Kabul and Washington to abandon the illusion of making peace with the Taliban and instead focus on uniting the Afghans to defeat the Taliban and their foreign terrorist supporters.  

— Ahmad Majidyar is a senior research associate at the American Enterprise Institute.

New on The Corner. . .


COMMENTS   10

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Pennsylvania Yankee
   09/20/11 14:48

"It is time for Kabul and Washington to abandon the illusion of making peace with the Taliban and instead focus on uniting the Afghans to defeat the Taliban and their foreign terrorist supporters."

Translation: The United States has fought for unclear goals with dubious success in Afghanistan for the last decade, and the county is still a violent mess, so the solution is to double down on this war, and begin other wars against "foreign terrorist supporters."

Or, just maybe, its time for us to get the hell out of there, as soon as humanly possible, and never come back.

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   09/20/11 14:50

Time to wash our hands of the place with one caveat. Any country that builds terrorist training camps, harbors terrorists, or funds terrorists against the US will experience the BTBTTSA doctrine. The beloved foreign policy doctrine of NRO's very own Derb.

If you aren't willing to fight a war to win, it is not worth fighting at all.

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Nyorker
   09/20/11 14:51

Obama is set to lose the Afghan war by showing the enemy that we've given up. Peace with the Taliban is a pipe dream.

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db3737
   09/20/11 14:57

Just another example why we - meaning the civilized world - simply need to continue to kill the Jihadis (and their supporters/enablers) and keep killing them for as long as it takes. There is no negotiating with the Islamofacist fanatics and their demeneted ideology bent on global domination. At the end of the day, we have two choices: fight them to the death or submit.

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   09/20/11 15:17

There are two other options.
Fight them over there, or wait until they come here.

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   09/20/11 16:02

That's a good argument against the continued importation of Muslims. If the whole point is to avoid fighting them here, stop running around the 57 Muslim countries handing out visas.

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Muslim
   09/20/11 16:10

Your argument is narrow-minded and silly. There are over 1 billion Muslims around the world, and al Qaeda and associate groups number only in thousands. Muslims are victims of the same ideology and groups.

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Mr. Sandmich
   09/20/11 15:15

"hasten rearming efforts that could trigger a civil war"

You mean more of the one that never ended.
It might even work out for us better if we pull out and give the nothern alliance aid and intelligence since they could fight the war in a manner that might actually bring it to an end.

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JoeC
   09/20/11 16:13

Yes, it was always a fantasy that the Taliban would negotiate, especially when Western troops are on the way out and they know they'll take back most of the country when they do. Why negotiate for what one can take in a year or two?

Perhaps these assassinations will wake up the anti-Taliban forces. There can be no peace EVER with the jihadis. As a poster said above, they must all be killed, to the very last one. I am all for supporting the Northern Alliance and conducting air strikes and selective Special Forces raids. But we need to get our ground troops out of there, because they are dying for nothing.

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FeFe1
   09/20/11 17:13

It means tribal money redistribution has reached critical mass as well you know. Not it's personal.

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