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Congratulations, and Don’t Get Cocky

Newt’s comeback, including the capstone of the Union Leader endorsement, is a truly remarkable tale. A lot of people — including many of us around here, starting with me — are eating crow over Gingrich’s return from the dead. And that’s good. It’s almost always a good thing when the conventional wisdom is overturned. It’s also good that, whether he wins or loses the nomination, he will be able to leave the field with his head held high. He clawed his way back through dogged will and ability. So again, good for him.

But I suspect and fear that Newt will interpret his comeback incorrectly and see his new front-runner status as proof he can discard all of the lessons-learned from his flame-out earlier this year. This is the moment where it’s going to be hardest for Gingrich to restrain his Newtness. This is the moment where perceived vindication breeds hubris. Already, he’s talking about teaching an online course from the White House, bragging that Obama can use teleprompters in their debates and trying to run as a general election candidate on immigration.

On their own, these are all fine even laudable. But when combined, among some Newt-watchers, they feel like omens that World Historical Newt is returning to the scene. He should fight that temptation and keep his nose to the grindstone.

New on The Corner. . .


COMMENTS   142

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   11/27/11 11:43

Goldberg,

Get on your knees and bow to Newtie. He's the true prophet of conservativism, not your hero Romney. It is written on the Golden Tablets. :)

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Esoteric
   11/27/11 20:01

It finally took this post for me to realize that you're a troll, a schtick poster.

Are you even a conservative, or are you just a leftie slumming around here to work people up?

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   11/27/11 11:49

I absolutely agree with Jonah. The presidency would be like crack cocaine to an egomaniac like Newt.

Newt says he has profoundly changed. Ridiculous. We all have to tone down our acts a bit when too many crushing reviews come in. Now, with just a little taste of returning popularity, the old, grandiose, pugnacious, bombastic, know-all Newt starts to re-emerge.

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   11/27/11 11:57

Newt doesn't seem anymore arrogant or egotistical than Obama, Bush, Clinton, or Romney. The first 3 won elections and Romney is ostensibly a lock to win, if only we nominate him.

Newt at least seems interested in politics, political philosophy, and policy when he's not in ofifce. Romney just seems interested in being president and somehow he can run for years without working to obtain this goal. Must be nice to be that rich.

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   11/27/11 11:51

Newt puzzles many people in that he is an unconventional politician.

Conventional politicians are ambition enclosed by skin. Newt, on the other hand, is EGO enclosed by skin. Newt is not primarily motivated by reaching the political heights... he is motivated always and in every situation, by the need to be seen as the smartest guy in the room.

This is why his public pronouncements often seem needlessly incautious and self-destructive. Newt will not say the politically safe thing, he will always say what he perceives to be the brilliant thing... and that can often be terminally dumb.

But he's not going to change. Being seen as brilliant is an addiction to Newt... and like all addicts, he is always at risk of sacrificing his own long-term benefit for the thrill of the next hit. His addiction makes him a dangerous, erratic candidate for the GOP... and, if nominated, a real gift for Obama.

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   11/27/11 11:56

Very perceptive comments from filistro, IMO.

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   11/27/11 12:56

Ditto that, Ed...filistro probably has the best comment on this thread so far.

I've said more than once that Newt's a great big-picture message guy, and I'd MUCH rather see him running the Republican National Committee, maybe with Sarah as his deputy - at the very least, we'd be spared the spectacle of "debates" moderated and controlled by auxiliaries of the Obama campaign.

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   11/27/11 14:04

filistro,

I tend to agree with your 'take' on Newt.

I'm curious if you would expand on why, though, you think Newt would be a "real gift to Obama"?

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   11/27/11 14:52

@LKS..I'm curious if you would expand on why, though, you think Newt would be a "real gift to Obama"?

I think a Romney/Obama contest would likely be a toss-up and an exciting race all the way to the finish, ultimately determined by small variables and/or the political climate next fall. However I don't think Newt even has a chance against Obama, and I have four main reasons for this opinion:

1.) Newt is erratic and garrulous, likely to step on his own message and be forced to walk back his statements, which gives an impression of unsteadiness at a time when the public is frightened and looking for stability.

2.) Newt lacks personal charm, and I don't believe he would wear well over a long campaign. People could well get very tired of his smugness and lofty, dismissive attitude.

3.) The GOP candidate cannot win without enthusiastic support from the socially conservative base, and they are still cool toward Newt's lobbying history, multiple marriages, lesbian sister, etc. They also deeply dislike his current wife... and this a group that tends to care about their First Lady more than other GOP voters do.

4.) Finally, it just doesn't seem part of the American psyche to reach back to the past for its politicians. America is always a forward-looking nation. I will probably be instantly corrected on this by half a dozen more knowledgeable folks... :-).. but I can't offhand recall anybody who climbed as high as Speaker, fell into disfavor and then clawed his way back to an even higher position.

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   11/27/11 15:39

"and this a group that tends to care about their First Lady more than other GOP voters do"

Only if she is a former mistress or a busybody. If she isn't morally objectionable and stays out of everyone's business, I think social conservatives care less about the First Lady than others do.

And I'm not certain about the "forward-looking" part, given Nixon and others.

Apart from that, I think your analysis is just about perfect.

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Esoteric
   11/27/11 20:00

Umm...she is a former mistress. That's kind of the problem. Newt's 2nd wife has said (in the recent GQ profile of Gingrich) that, in fact, he initially wanted them to maintain their marriage, for public purposes, while he would be allowed to keep Callista "on the side" in a French-style 'open marriage' arrangement. She said no, and he filed for divorce rather than drop his mistress.

Yeah...kind of a problem.

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   11/28/11 10:54

Yes, I realize that. Newt has no chance. I was just offering my own small adjustment to filistro's comments.

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   11/28/11 16:10

filistro has nailed it (or Newt). I would only add that no matter how smart you are, you always need to think twice before opening your mouth when speaking publicly, and this is something Newt doesn't have the discipline to do.

His comeback after pushing the self-destruct button he seems to have concealed in his belt buckle is nothing short of remarkable - I said he'd never be able to do it. But being Newt, as filistro said, he'll draw the wrong conclusion, and push it again (and even again, if necessary) until he finally goes down for the count.

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   11/27/11 11:52

His Newtness is inevitably linked to any sustained success. If he actually gets elected before it happens, he would make post-2006 W look powerful and universally admired.

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   11/27/11 11:53

PLEASE DON'T FEED THE TROLLS.

When in doubt, infer it is a troll.

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   11/27/11 12:04

When in doubt, infer CT NRO Man and other control freaks who get hostile when you mock Romney are in the tank for Romney. :)

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   11/27/11 11:53

Newt has arrogantly, needlessly, and -- according to Bill Kristol -- deliberately confronted the base with his support for amnesty. That is insulting and disqualifying, in my opinion.

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   11/27/11 11:59

Since when was Bill Kristol a conservative. It's Republicans like him that lead us to lose in to Obama in the first place. He and others want to make the Republican Party the party of Perpetual War. We won't win elections if we are seen as the War Party.

No true conservatives read the Weekly Standard.

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   11/27/11 12:09

For your information, kid, Kristol was ~praising~ Newt for confronting the base with his amnesty plans. Kristol's remarks were made this morning on Fox, and he said that Newt told him before the debate that he was going to do it.

So not to confuse you but Newt is Kristol's boy. And, btw, a lot of the NR big guys -- Lowry for example -- have written very unfavorably about Romney. But in your world of mad hatred, the least suspicion of sympathy for Romney is completely damning. And your "suspicions," more often than not, arise randomly from among the fetid vapors of your swamp of a brain.

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   11/27/11 12:22

Yeah, Mr. Kristol was so decidedly mindless, he was the biggest push for the disaster named McCain in 2008 - the same who was pushing Amnesty, Cap and Trade, even undermined "waterboarding".

He has enabled the worst so often, and some believed it was pure professional jealousy against the NR in 2008.

But what is it about Kristol's penchant for Beltway Insiders on the Taxpayer dime, who exploit Fannie and Freddie?

Is Bill's life inside of Washington so distorted from reality, he fears anyone from the Private Sector coming to town?

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