Political debate about space policy is rarely edifying, especially when it arises not from any interest in the subject but from a hamhanded attempt gain a perceived political advantage. That seems to be what happened in the Republican debate on Saturday night.
Asked how his policy positions differed from those of Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney surprisingly offered as his first example something space-related: “We could start with his idea to have a lunar colony that would mine minerals from the moon. I’m not in favor of spending that kind of money to do that.” Later, he offered another one: “He even talked about a series of mirrors that we could put in space that would light our highways at night. I’ve got some better ideas for our resources.”
As reported by Jeff Foust at Space Politics, Newt’s response was, as usual, swift and expansive:
“I’m proud of trying to find things that give young people a reason to study science and math and technology, and telling them that some day in their lifetime that they can dream of going to the Moon, they can dream of going to Mars,” he said. “I grew up in a generation where the space program was real, where it was important, where, frankly, it is tragic that NASA has been so bureaucratized.” He then cited Iowa State University, just up the road from the debate in Ames, as an example of a place doing “brilliant things” that attract students. “I’m happy to defend the idea that America should be in space and should be there in an aggressive, entrepreneurial way.”
Where did Mitt get this stuff? Probably from this David Brooks column on Newt’s big-government Hamiltonian conservatism:
His 1984 book, “Window of Opportunity,” is a broadside against what he calls the “laissez-faire” conservatism — the idea that government should just get out of the way so the market can flourish. . . .
Gingrich loves government more than I do. He has no Hayekian modesty to restrain his faith in statist endeavor. For example, he has called for “a massive new program to build a permanent lunar colony to exploit the Moon’s resources.” He has suggested that “a mirror system in space could provide the light equivalent of many full moons so that there would be no need for nighttime lighting of the highways.”
Romney spoke as though these were current Gingrich campaign themes, when in fact they come from a book over a quarter of a century old. It’s also worth noting that this is the only mention that Romney has ever made of space policy in the campaign, other than a cryptic, almost non-sequitur comment at the New Hampshire debate in June, in response to a question posed to Gingrich about the then-imminent retirement of the space shuttle:
I think fundamentally there are some people — and most of them are Democrats, but not all — who really believe that the government knows how to do things better than the private sector.
Presumably the target of that comment was Gingrich, but it’s not clear exactly what Governor Romney meant by it.
Newt’s technophilia has been a fundamental part of his political persona since the beginning of his career, as Michelle Quinn pointed out yesterday at Politico. In the early ’80s, when he wrote the book David Brooks refers to, he was on the board of directors of the L-5 Society, which was formed in the ’70s to promote the settlement and industrialization of space (Barry Goldwater was also on the board; the group later merged with the National Space Institute to become the present-day National Space Society). The idea at the time was that orbital colonies, located at points between the earth and the moon, would pay for themselves by constructing giant satellites in geosynchronous orbit using lunar materials (such as silicon and aluminum from the silicates of the lunar highlands) that would collect solar energy and beam it to earth via microwaves. The orbiting-mirrors concept, called “lunetta,” was originated by the brilliant space visionary (and developer of the workhorse Centaur upper stage) Krafft Ehricke. All of this was based on the assumption that the space shuttle was going to live up to its seventies promise of safe, low-cost routine access to space — a promise that, since Challenger was lost in 1986, it has been clear it would never fulfill.
That was then and this is now, and Newt’s space policy has evolved quite a bit since then, but David Brooks and Mitt Romney seem stuck in the early eighties. I don’t think that Newt is promoting lunettas these days, but he remains interested in lunar mining — as are a number of entrepreneurs. For instance, in April of this year, a new company was formed in Silicon Valley by Microsoft veterans and others to start mining it robotically, with a first lunar landing planned as soon as 2013.
Does lunar mining make economic sense? It depends on the markets, of course. There are rare earths there, which are valuable per pound (a useful trait for a commodity with high transportation costs) and strategically important for the electronics industry, and whose price has been skyrocketing recently due to a monopoly on them by China. Some, such as Apollo geologist/astronaut Jack Schmitt, have long promoted lunar mining as a source for helium 3, an isotope with characteristics preferable to deuterium for fusion (though we don’t currently have the reactor technology for it). But the most compelling argument for lunar mining right now is its ability to dramatically reduce the cost of exploration beyond the earth-moon system by using the water and oxygen trapped in lunar rocks to make propellant — which constitutes most of the mass of the payload for giant rockets such as the planned Space Launch System — as well as for life support. Having propellants in other locations allows full reusability of the vehicles, and could make possible not just the exploration but the settlement of the moon and other bodies. Developing such resources would, in the words of George W. Bush science adviser John Marburger, “incorporate the Solar System in our economic sphere.” That, I suspect, is the vision that Newt has in mind.
I also suspect Governor Romney assumed that Newt was proposing a massive NASA project to build the “lunar colony” that the governor derided as unrealistic pie-in-the-sky (almost literally) in austere times. If so, he knocked the stuffing out of a straw man, because Newt is actually on record as wanting to bypass the agency, if not abolish it outright.
I am for a dramatic increase in our efforts to reach out into space, but I am for doing virtually all of it outside of NASA through prizes and tax incentives. NASA is an aging, unimaginative, bureaucracy committed to over-engineering and risk-avoidance which is actually diverting resources from the achievements we need and stifling the entrepreneurial and risk-taking spirit necessary to lead in space exploration.
Nearly two years ago, when the Obama administration came out with its new plan to shift crew transportation to low earth orbit from NASA to competitive commercial industry, Newt (along with Bob Walker and Dana Rohrabacher) was one of the few Republican politicians to support what should have been an obvious position for a Republican supposedly in favor of free enterprise and competition, while most supposed conservatives were demanding, when it came to human spaceflight, a “public option.”
What does this exchange tell us about the two candidates? I think it provides a window into their mindsets. Newt sees space as a frontier of human opportunity and plenty, and wants to direct space policy toward opening it using the traditional American tools of entrepreneurship and competition (unlike most people on the Hill who care about space, who only do so as a means of national prestige and jobs in their states and districts). It’s hard to tell how Mitt Romney views it, since he has not offered an alternative to Gingrich’s vision, but by denigrating the development of new resources because it’s a little too “far out,” he comes off as someone who not only has given no serious thought to space policy other than as a cudgel against his political opponent, but as a soulless technocrat. To me, it was worse than his ten-grand-bet gaffe.
Quoting from a 25 year old book?
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseMitt is getting more and more desperate.
Regarding the mention of mining rare earths (for use on earth, not in space), please see this discussion, initiated by a Google X-Prize team member.
External Link
The bottom line: there is no case for mining rare earths on the moon for use on Earth.
Reply to this commentLinkReport Abuse1. ...most supposed conservatives were demanding, when it came to human spaceflight, a “public option.”
Which is consistent with the contention that there's not a dime's worth of difference between the two major parties.
2. The attitude of those supposedly conservative politicians wrt space particularly infuriates me because afaic conservatism is about the future. (The point is not to return to the past; the point is that the past contains lessons which facilitate moving forward.)
3. Newt should emphasize that his space economy is designed to be sustainably profitable. He should take care to draw a distinction between his proposals and Obama's crony-capitalist "green jobs" boondoggles.
4. I will be delighted if international competition to exploit space remains purely economic. I will be delighted if we won't need a capability to defend our future space-based economy against force.
But I'm not counting on it.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseNot sure it makes sense to mine the moon for rare earth minerals when they could be mined from US and Australian sources, even if China restricts some or all of them. We stopped mining here because China was selling it cheaper. But I have to believe it would be more economical to pull them from the US again than to send rockets and robots to mine and return them from the moon.
The real value of the moon and Mars is socio-political: they represent spaces ungoverned by people like Newt and Mitt.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseThere remains, however, a very traditionally-Republican rationale for the Government to have some involvement in the American presence in space and it surprises me that nobody ever seems to recognize it: the national defense.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseThe Pentagon has an ample budget for national defense in space. NASA was deliberately set up to be a civilian agency. It plays no role in national defense, though it was useful during the Cold War as propaganda.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseThe point is Gingrich has a 30-year record of saying whatever pops into his head. You can take a shelf of his books, rip out all the pages, throw them in the air, catch one, and you're guaranteed to find something that's awkward to explain in 2011.
Reply to this commentLinkReport Abusenewt has a inquisitive and active mind. interested in new ideas and solutions. no wonder romney is worried. lets be frank here. how could anyone who got elected as the governor of massachusetts be an honest conservative. newt was a leading soldier in the reagan revolution, one of kemps boys. thumbs down to those who keep attacking him as something less than a true conservative. i guess the90% ACU rating while in congress wasn't enough.
Reply to this commentLinkReport Abuse25-year old book or not, MarkW, it's still Gingrich in a nutshell: bad ideas tossed off the top of his head without thinking them through. And Rand Simberg is wrong to accuse Romney of knocking down a straw man: Gingrich may not like the NASA bureaucracy, but he doesn't sound averse to creating some other bureaucracy (using his own genius, of course) to waste the taxpayers' money on lunar colonies and solar mirrors.
As for GS's advice that "He [Gingrich] should take care to draw a distinction between his proposals and Obama's crony-capitalist 'green jobs' boondoggles" the point is that if Newt were any kind of free-market conservative, he would recognize that if and when these endeavors make economic sense, the only thing the government needs to do is step out of the way. "Directing space policy" is no more a proper function of government than directing health care (military considerations excluded), and Newt Gingrich-supported space tech boondoggles are no more desirable than Barack Obama green tech boondoggles, to rework one of Gingrich's own outbursts.
If next November there's "not a dime's worth of difference between the two major parties" it will be because the Republicans chose to ignore all the warning signs and nominated Newt.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseI have some thoughts up over at Open Market on what Newt could do (and would be likely to do, given that he'll be taking space policy advice from people like Jim Muncy) that doesn't involve "creating a new bureaucracy."
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseSounds like Speaker Gingrich has developed a vision for space exploration not very different than what was, until very recently, national space policy, including a permanent human presence on the Moon.
Make no mistake, whether one agrees with Gingrich or not, Romney sounded precisely as described. A technocrat with no compelling vision of the future. If Romney doesn't schedule a meeting with Paul Spudis or Jack Schmitt, he's making a much larger mistake.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseRand does a pretty good summary of Gingrich's evolving views on space policy as well as some of the virtues of lunar mining. But then he offers another one of his knee jerk defenses of the Obama space policy which consists of Solyndra-style subsidies for commercial space companies and the abandonment of the Moon and its resources. There is a strange contradiction here.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseSolyndra-style subsidies for commercial space companies
Regardless of the amount of repetition, this characterization of commercial crew and COTS remains insane.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseObama's approach to commercial space is insane. NASA bureaucracy and rules are following NASA money. Commercial space is in danger of being smothered as a result.
And I notice, no answer about Obama's abandonment of the Moon.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseJerry Pournelle is always good to read about such topics - government's role in developing tech (prize-centric) and to give historical perspective. His blog is at his above name - all one word; dot com OR the first result on Google if you google his name.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseI like Newt's answer about the space program. I am a huge supporter of the space program. I do not think Romney cares about space. This is a minor matter relative to the big issues of the economy, the debt, defense, Iran, terrorism, health care, over-regulation, judicial vision, and others, but I frankly have to give this issue to Newt.
Reply to this commentLinkReport Abuse"...this is a minor issue.."
It shouldn't be. Frankly, I grew up back when, and my dreams of a future... never arrived. Does the advance of civilization have to end just cuz every available $ has to be sucked by entitlements? Romney took the Democrat line.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseIn theory, I side with Gingrich's view that a lot can be learned from space exploration. I won't insult any reader with again with my opinions of why Romney is an irrelevant contributor, who just adds this to his resume of blowing in the wind.
What I find frustrating against my own potential vote for Gingrich is his failure to remain grounded at least enough to draw realistic inferences from space adventure to the needs of 2012. If my own candidate doesn't bring home the pro-Americana-democratic bacon, then for whom shall I vote? **
Rationale: The majority of what can be gleaned from life-sized experimentation can be less expensively, albeit virtually and with drones refined by re-creating atmospheres and theoretical astrophysics prior to [life-size] experimentation.
Existential position: In what will soon be 2012, international politics, tyrany and poor relations keep billions starving or dying from curable/ treatable illnesses, threaten our democratic republic status way of life, enhance the fallacy of reasonable killings--abortion and euthanasia--- and for what?-- a mindset of human life as so worthless? I firmly believe as a human, a Catholic, and an American, we need to expoit to the fullest, useable derivatives of we have right now. That is not being done--- Space becomes a distant priority while we ignore the vacuum of needs here on earth. GO SCIENCE--but do it for a better cause.
** [Just for clarification, I am afraid of Romney, as I really don't know who is pulling his political strings---but it' is not him.]
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseMary Bridget, I am an active Catholic, prolifer and Republican who has also had a long career in the space industry and continue to be active in advocating for enabling new space enterprises. In my blog article
External Link
I point out that developing space resources can contribute to economic growth in the near term and provide for future generations in the long term.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseHad a long talk with our twenty-something children, who are very conservative, and they all said that none of the Republican candidates offer anything to inspire any of their generation. Sure, paying off debt needs to be done, but it is never inspiring. Of the candidates in the field right now, which one has the most sense of sunny optimism, big ideas, and grand challenges? Despite all his warts, I have to say Newt is the only one. Santorum and Bachmann are way too negative, Romney is robotic and Kerry-like, and Perry comes across like a gaw-shucks good-old-boy. Paul comes across as that irritating scold of an uncle you see at family gatherings.
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