As NRO reported on Friday, Santorum’s advisers are committed to staying in the race. The latest Rasmussen tracking poll offers some encouragement:
In a potential Election 2012 matchup, former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum is at 45% while President Obama earns 44%. This is the first time in any poll that Santorum has led the president. Several other GOP challengers have led the president a single time in the polls including Rick Perry, Herman Cain, and Newt Gingrich. Each man briefly held the lead while they were surging in the polls, only to fall quickly. It remains to be seen what will happen to Santorum’s support.
I look forward to all the MittBots rushing to support Santorum since he is now the only Republican who can win against Obama.
Ponnuru, Lowry, and Goldberg---I presume you'll be first, right?
Right?
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseFrom the linked article:
However, if former House Speaker Newt Gingrich is the Republican nominee, the president holds an eight point lead, 49% to 41%
And Gingrich is asking Santorum to leave the field?
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseWell, other than being more conservative than Gingrich, polling better in head--to-head matchups against Obama than Gingrich, and having less personal baggage than Gingrich, why would anyone prefer Santorum? I mean he doesn't win debates against moderators as skillfully as the former Speaker, so clearly he's just not the answer.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseSantorum needs a couple more polls like that to really convince people. Right now it just looks like an outlier.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseSantorum needs wins vs Romney in Minnesota and Missouri tonight.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseIn Newt's crazy head, it somehow all makes sense.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseLet's take the blinders off for a minute guys. The only reason Santorum polls that well is because nobody knows who he is, he hasn't been attacked yet like Mitt, Newt, Perry, etc...
If Santorum had to go through the vetting the other candidates have gone through, his numbers would surely fall.
It's time to coalesce around Romney. He's not a perfect candidate, but he really is the best shot we have, and I think he stands a very good chance at beating Obama. Better, there's a good chance we can pick up the senate and keep the house with Romney at the top of the ticket. Even if Romney loses, this will save us from much of the Damage Obama can do, and they can then force his hand in ways they can't without the senate. But I remain hopeful that Romney can landslide Obama.
Just remember, all of the vetting the Republicans have had to go through, putting their record on the table hurt them. When Obama goes through that scrutiny in the fall, and people are reminded just how terrible he's been, he'll have an enormously difficult time winning. His poll numbers in the swing states are in the tank. The only way we lose this is if our nominee is unwilling to take Obama on. Romney's proven that he's willing to go to the mat to win an election. That's the main reason I like him at this point. I think he's willing to dog fight.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseIsn't if hysterical to see how quickly the MittBot memes change?
Since Mittens hasn't had the time or inclination to trash Santorum, having spent millions and millions sliming every other conservative in the race, we ought to just save him the trouble and stipulate that Santorum would be destroyed, is that it?
Come on, DF---that won't even fly with Old Fan!
Why coalesce around a guy who can't beat Obama?
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseGee...then how come Obama was cleaning Santorum's clock in head to head polls all through January. Are you arguing Rick is LESS known today than he was a month ago?
Obama was getting 50%+ in head to head until now....because Rick is actually getting known by more people - especially with the fewer numbers on stage in the debates.
In other words...take your conclusion and completely reverse it.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseSteve, you have to keep one thing in mind - the only polls that count are the ones that show Romney ahead of Obama and Obama ahead of the rest of the candidate. Any other polls should be discounted.
Reply to this commentLinkReport Abuse"It's time to coalesce around Romney. "
I gotta give you Romney people credit. Only you could take a poll showing another candidate doing well as further proof that Romney is the only acceptable choice for Republicans.
It really will be interesting to see what excuses will fly come November and Romney has been defeated. You will either blame conservatives for failing to coalesce around Romney, or you will suggest that nobody could have beaten Obama. I will guarantee that the one thing Romney boosters won't do is engage in self-reflection about how they forced a turd of a candidate down our throats to the detriment of our party and, more importantly, our country.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseSantorum's numbers will continue to rise. And then, if by chance he becomes the nominee, we will hear a collective "OMG" rise across the country through the late summer and fall, as people learn he's unhappy -- in this day and age! -- with the idea of birth control.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseWell, it's hardly a guarantee that Santorum would beat Obama, but quite honestly I'm beginning to wonder if he might not have a better shot than Romney. Normally his stalwart position on the social issues would be an easy target, but given the economic times we are in, I doubt those arguments are of any great interest to Mr. and Mrs. Average Joe.
Rick just needs to focus on economics and national security. Not that he should or could hide his social conservatism, but everyone knows where he is on those issues (and probably don't care too much either way).
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseIn a country of 300 million people Mitt Romney is the guy? Unbelievable. Not that anyone gives a hoot but if he's the nominee I'm switching to Independent. What's the sense of staying connected to the Republican Party if all we get is warmed over liberals. I consider myself a conservative and the Republican Party is leaving me.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseI don't think Santorum would beat Obama, but it's definitely not a foregone conclusion like it is for Newt Gingrich, it would actually be a race that most conservatives would support. Santorum would likely connect much better with many Reagan Democrats in the Rust Belt, but I see him getting slaughtered in more affluent suburbs with soccer moms as a result of his stances on abortion and contraception (his positions are considered extreme even among social conservatives)
Santorum also doesn't have the most likable demeanor, he has a sharp edge to him that comes off whiny and angry. It also doesn't help that his last election he lost by 20 points in a purple state that's fairly representative of America at large. It would be one thing if he narrowly lost in a wave election, but that's a blowout of epic proportions despiteoutspending his opponent nearly 2 to 1.
I also agree that Santorum's strong showing in this poll is likely a result that no one has felt threatened enough to actually "vet" him.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseAh yes the 'Santorum lost by 18% argumen't -- just out of curiosity did Newt leave the Speakership at the head of some victory parade I missed? And am I correct that Romney served one lonely little term as Governor of Mass. and then didn't run for a second term because the polls indicated he would lose badly if he did?
Santorum lost his last campaign (largely because conservatives decided to punish him for endorsing Specter) but before that he won four (4) elections in blue state Pennsylvania -- two elections to Congress in heavily Democratic district near Pittsburgh and two statewide elections to the U.S Senate that required him to overcome the usual Dem fraud in Philadelphia.
Now let's get back to our regularly scheduled programming about what a loser Santorum is.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseAs I said in my reply last night that for some reason wasn't posted, Santorum has a much better record of success at winning elections than either Romney or Newt. Four electoral victories - two in congressional races in the heavily Democratic Pittsburgh area and two state-wide in a state that includes Philadelphia. Romney served a single term as Governor of Massachusetts and didn't run for re-election - probably because the polls indicated he would lose badly.
And Gingrich has never won elective office to anything outside of his congressional district - and was cashiered by his own party four years after becoming Speaker. It's time for the "Santorum-lost-by-20%" crowd to find a new hobby horse.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseWorth noting that this same Rasmussen poll showed Romney losing to Obama 47% to 43%, so it's probably time to take a break from the tired old line that "Romney is the only one who can beat Obama."
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseWorth noting in the same Rasmussen poll that Mitt Romney loses to Obama by a margin of 47% to 43%. So it might be a good time to take a break in the constant repetition (almost Occupy Protestor-like) of the mantra "Romney is the only person who can beat Obama."
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseWorth noting that in this particular Rasmussen poll that Mitt Romney loses to President Obama by 44% to 47%. So can we at least take a brief pause from the incessant repetition (almost Occupy Wall Street dronish) of the mantra "Romney is the only candidate who's electable."
Reply to this commentLinkReport Abuse