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Reading the Exits

CNN has now released its detailed exit poll numbers. They don’t give a breakdown for the 200k+ income group (6% of the electorate), but since they release all the other groups we can estimate that amount by comparing the total vote estimate from those groups to the 55% statewide the exit poll estimates, and then seeing what he would need from the 200k+ group to get there. I won’t bore you with the math, but the answer is astounding — 80% of the 200k+ group had to have voted for Romney for the exit poll to be internally consistent. Wow.

New on The Corner. . .


COMMENTS   12

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   02/04/12 21:18

enough, already...geez.

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   02/04/12 22:00
Gum Naam
   02/04/12 20:29

Man of the people, alright.

(I'm from Florida, this is my first comment ever on NRO and the CAPTCHA is 'Orange Juice'. NRO has the best CAPTCHAs on the web, bar none.)

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   02/04/12 21:13

Only 5% of the precincts are in at the moment (with eight of the smaller counties in !00%. Of these, Paul won 2 (including the largest so far in - Nye), Gingrich won 1 and Romney 5. Romney is currently at 38%.

When the GOP Establishment vote comes in from Clark County, Romney's total percentage will significantly increase, but the 4 contenders will all gain delegates from Nevada. Paul will probably come in second.

A fair and honest process where everyone gets their say, and money, while important, is not the whole story. Regardless of the details of the ultimate result here, this is the way our nominating process is supposed to work, and usually doesn't.

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   02/04/12 21:29

Short form: your guy isn't winning and it's just not fair.

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   02/04/12 22:20

That is, of course, exactly the opposite of what I said.

I am holding up Nevada as a fair grass-roots selection process, where everyone got their say and the delegates were awarded proportionally. If the GOP selection process were this fair up-and-down the line, we could all unite around the party's choice.

But it is not. The Romney supporters have used big money, Establishment power and the politics-of-personal-destruction to try and foist a weak, uninspiring candidate upon us by destroying all the alternatives.

See if that works for you.

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   02/05/12 01:21

Complaining about a candidate spending too much money!? What are you? a Democrat?

It is not unfair for Romney to raise more money than Newt or Santorum, and it also isn't unfair for him to spend it. Romney hasn't broken any rules here, it is Gingrich's fault that he could not raise as much money as Romney and therefore didn't have as much to spend.

What is this "establishment" power you speak of?
Also, the citizens of Clark county I'm sure will be surprised to learn that they are a part of the "establishment. "

By the way, by "establishment" do you mean Republicans that don't live in rural areas?
If that is the case I must be uber establishment...

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   02/04/12 21:16

So the venture capitalist/creative destruction specialist overwhelmingly won the over $200,000 group. That's just super.

I'm not sure if as conservatives we're supposed to be impressed or depressed by this new data?

I'm more worried about the blue collar middle class and his utter inability to communicate with Americans that don't make $200k a year.

Romney is a cliche of the blue blood republican snob.

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   02/04/12 23:37

That is astounding. Last I heard, Mitt wasn't running to be president for those people making 200k a year...they are doing ok, OK?

Why bother to vote for him if you are in the Mitt Goldilock's class...if you are too poor or rich, why, either you are doing ok or the gubmint is taking care of you. Mitt is only running to be president of those poor middle class people.

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   02/05/12 02:22

Mr. Romney is definitely making Democratic Partisans afraid.

Romney looks very strong for the General Election,
able to mount a Campaign in every State.

2012 could be a historically bad year for the Democratic Party,
and thus very good for Our Nation.

We have to focus on removing Obama...

Time to send Reid packing from the Leadership position as well.

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   02/05/12 17:47

I guess the only thing I'd add to this is that a candidate should be able to spend what they can raise.

But ...

Simply because that person has raised more money does NOT make them a better or the best candidate.

Mitt has won the money bonanza. Cheers to Mitt.

He's also a caricature of the worst kind of republican. He's a stiff, super wealthy scion of a political family going back 50 years.

The fact that he can outspend Newt and Rick in Florida like what 65 to 1 and win does not make me feel confident of his chances in the general election ....

And the idea that he trounced Newt in the super wealth over $200k demo ..... I'm not sure whether the writer is saying WOW bad .... or WOW good?

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