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And Now Quasi-Drachmas?

Here, perhaps, is another warning sign of monetary breakdown in Greece.

Business Insider reports:

In a note from this week, UBS economist Stephane Deo asks: Is Greece (already) printing its own money?

Deo centers on two areas: The first is the expanding balance sheet of the Greek central bank via the ELA (Emergency Liquidity Assistance) a scheme by which the national central banks help in keeping the domestic banking industry solvent. The other focus area is a little more intriguing and arcane. He asks specifically: Are quasi-drachmas being issued?

Quasi-drachmas? Well what he’s referring to is a scheme whereby the state has paid hospital suppliers in the form of domestically issued bonds:

“The Greek state hospitals accumulated arrears to suppliers during the period from 2005 to 2010. In May-June 2010, the Greek government decided to put an end to this practice and decided to take up this outstanding debt (law 3867/2010). In the following months, all the accumulated debt of public hospitals and the healthcare system from 2005 to mid 2007 was settled on a cash basis. The amount was EUR1.5bn for the years 2005 and 2006, with an additional EUR240 million for the first half of 2007. A total of EUR5.6bn accumulated between 2007 and 2010, was settled with zero coupon bonds. This was the creation of the “Pharma-Bonds”.  

These financial instruments are bonds, and have all the characteristics of Hellenic Republic Bonds: they bear international securities identification numbers (ISINs); they are negotiable on the Athens Exchange and they rank pari passu with other Greek debt. The government, in one of its press releases, notes that “bondholders who choose to discount these bonds at the banks will crystallise a 19% discount versus their original claim.”

We would argue, however, that they are more than just another bond issued by the Greek government. To be specific, they seem to us very akin to what economists call quasi-monies. These quasi-monies have appeared in a number of cases, usually put in place by government to find an escape valve out of nominal fiscal rigidities in the face of a financing issue. This especially happens in a case of a government of a monetary union that cannot print money to fund its deficit. “

Deo goes onto compare these “Pharma-Bonds” to the famous IOUs issued in California in 2009, when the state no longer had the cash to pay some employees and vendors. Argentina did something similar during its famous debt crisis — creating quasi money vehicles when it could no longer literally create money.

And in the case of Greece, the pharma-bonds seem unusually money-like, in that they can be deposited with a bank, which can them pledge them as collateral for real cash.

These do indeed look a bit like the quasi-monies that surfaced in Argentina as the dollar/peso peg crumbled in 2001. I briefly described these strange creations a few months back here:

The banks—and, of course, the country itself—were quite literally running out of the dollars that made up a monetary base already depleted by previous capital flight, and a growing current account deficit. The rules of a currency board (even in its looser Argentine variant) meant that it was not possible simply to print money to fill the gap. This is a problem familiar to those of today’s PIIGS who have to watch the money drain out of their economies, yet are blocked from direct access to the printing press by the European Central Bank. Argentina’s more sinuous treasuries (provincial and then national) tried to meet this challenge by issuing a series of evocatively named quasi-monies (IOUs, basically), but these patacones, porteños, quebrachos, and lecops were harbingers of doom, not a solution.

But they were at least good enough for McDonalds, as this report from 2001 shows:

The Buenos Aires outlet of burger behemoth McDonald’s is preparing to accept one-year bonds in payment for food, as a cash crisis grips the Argentine economy tighter with the continued lack of conclusion to talks between the country and the International Monetary Fund (IMF).  The bonds, nicknamed patacones after a currency that became defunct 120 years ago, will be issued as part-payment of wages for the 150,000 state workers in Buenos Aires who earn more than US$740 a month…McDonald’s has launched a special new meal deal called the “Patacombo”, consisting of two cheeseburgers, French fries and a drink.

Over to you, Chancellor Merkel.

New on The Corner. . .


COMMENTS   7

EXPAND  

   02/14/12 21:41

I hope they have some quasi-wheelbarrows ready to hold all the quasi-currency that Greece will need.

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   02/15/12 01:21

After decades of anti-Americanism from Greeks, I'm indulging myself with a long, cool draft of Schadenfreude.
Thanks, Greece.

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   02/15/12 02:26

The Greek Gov't paid off suppliers with EUR 6bn of Pharma Bonds which if they cash them will cash out at 81 centimes or whatever it is to the Euro.Did I get that right? It's a one time deal and it's going to mostly internal suppliers.
You are comparing this to Argentina printing funny money willy nilly as mickey mouse money? The implication being that bad Argentina did this awful trick to get around the rules and it was one part of the wholesale collapse?
Get real! It's a one time deal of only EUR 6bn in a largely internal transaction. It's a very small pinprick in a bucket. If Greece had a consistent policy of doing this yes it would be violating the spirit and the law of their agreements.
Couldn't we do some real reporting about what is going to kill Greece? The rich Northern Europeans demanding their pound of flesh and the blood.? While forgetting it was nice having southern cousins who kept the Euro low to help sell the BMW's?

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   02/15/12 02:57

Can't wait for Sacramento to follow Athens' lead.

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   02/15/12 02:59

Why not call them quasi euros? They're denominated in euros, are they not? They are redeemable for euros, are they not (with a 19% discount)? They trade at equivalent prices and rates as Greece's euro debt, do they not?

Why not recognize that the Greek government has figured out a way to print euros, at least in limited fashion. As desperation grows, expect them to find other ways to do it.

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Another Anon
   02/15/12 09:34

Didn't California do something similar a year or so ago? Only they called their fiat money the IOU.

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FearTheTree
   02/15/12 10:10

I don't understand what Andrew Stuttaford means by...

Over to you, Chancellor Merkel.

Is he suggesting that Merkel should acquiesce to the Eurocrats in Brussels by betraying her country and OKing Eurobonds? Or should she agree to a permanent fiscal transfer union, despite the promise to the German voters that it would never be necessary?

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