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Inside Santorum World

Earlier today, I spoke with John Brabender, Santorum’s senior strategist. He reflected on tonight’s primaries and looked ahead to the “Super Tuesday” contests. Here are parts of our conversation:

Calling Democrats was strategic. “Nobody registers by party in Michigan,” Brabender says. “So we had to figure who was going to show up and vote. That’s why it’s funny Romney is criticizing us for calling Democrats. We’re just calling people who consider themselves, most of the time, to be Democrats — because they vote in Democratic regions — but who also vote in Republican races.”

The establishment’s brokered convention dreams are a fantasy. Brabender has little patience for the grumbling within the GOP establishment about drafting a new candidate should Santorum continue to rise. “Conservatives and tea-party supporters recognize that the establishment is always going to try to find a candidate who they prefer,” he says. “Generally, their candidates are ones who are middle of the road, who have a minimal message, and very vanilla-like. It sounds like they’re quickly souring on Romney, that they do not think he’s up to the task. So they’re trying to find another establishment-like candidate. I think it simply scares a lot of people in the establishment that if we have a nominee like Rick Santorum, it’d be a nominee they could not control. He won’t just fall in line with their agenda. He’ll reform things.”

The Romney-Paul conspiracy concerns remain. “I think the world should be worried about a Romney-Paul alliance,” Brabender says. “There are more and more stories coming out every day about how curious this is, about all of the connections. They’re using the same ads in Michigan and Paul, who isn’t even competing in Michigan, is running negative ads against Santorum, which could only benefit Mitt Romney. There are enough people out there who are curious about what the relationship is, what has been promised to Ron Paul, and those types of things. Romney has a lot of explaining to do.”

Expect more of the snob theme. As I report on the home page, Santorum isn’t walking back his “snob” comment about the president. In fact, Brabender says, “Super Tuesday” voters can expect to hear a continuation of that theme. But he acknowledges that his candidate does not always pick a perfect phrase, and that Santorum will probably not overuse that line. “When everything you say is not poll tested, not from a TelePrompTer, there will be times when you probably don’t pick the best words,” he says. Still, “the message should not be lost in the process,” he says. “What we’re willing to do is have a candidate who comes across as genuine, who is willing to speak his mind. There’s an authenticity to that.”

Santorum will remain accessible. Santorum is picking up momentum and Secret Service protection, but will his freewheeling engagement with voters and reporters continue? “It will,” Brabender claims, and he notes that this aspect of the campaign contrasts with Romney, who holds few press availabilities. “We’re not going only take the questions that we think are the plump ones,” he chuckles. “We’ll take the hard ones, too. When you answer the hard questions, it’s difficult. But you can gain people’s respect. For a long time, that’s been Santorum’s appeal — his honesty, his passion, and his ability to talk directly and not mince words. It’d be a major mistake for us to try and change that.”

There’s little worry about the ‘insider’ narrative. Brabender does not expect Romney’s focus on Santorum’s Senate record to damage the campaign. He views it as one of many attack angles on Santorum that have come and gone. “A month ago, our supposed bump was that he lost his last election. Before that, the bump was that he was too conservative,” he says. “Every week it’s something else, something that they say he can’t overcome. The problem is that this is the pundits talking to each other; it’s the insiders and the establishment. Middle America isn’t talking about this stuff.”

New on The Corner. . .


COMMENTS   22

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 Rook
   02/28/12 22:21

"Expect more of the snob theme."

Wonderful. Maybe he can throw in some jabs at pointy-headed professors while he's at it.

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   02/28/12 23:02

And why not praise the auto bailouts some more while he's at it?

Conservatives don't institute industrial policy. Whether it's favoring green energy, Detroit, or manufacturing, it's bad economics. I don't think there is ever a good time for a Santorum presidency, but if there is one it sure isn't in the middle of an economic crisis.

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 MSP
   02/28/12 22:21

It looks like Mitt is going to win Michigan. So wait for the headlines that read "Romney Avoids Embarrassment."

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   02/28/12 22:31

Romney actually surpassed his 2008 performance in MI, but you're right - this is how it will be played.

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   02/28/12 23:42

Santorum surpassed Romney's 2008 total too. A lot more GOP voters this year than 2008 with a Dem primary happening. Bottom line, a win is a win.

But in 2008, Romney won by a much larger percentage in a 3-man race, than he did tonight in effectively a 2-man race.

And there is still that haunting reminder that if most of Newt's voters went for Rick, Romney might have lost.

But a win is a win. Won't mean a thing (especially since the delegates are split) if it does not push him to victory in Ohio next week. Romney is likely going to flame out in TN, OK and GA next Tuesday and a loss in OH will make it a bad night, despite winning VT, MA and an uncontested VA.

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 Rook
   02/28/12 23:49

I think since a lot of people were expecting him to lose, he's actually getting pretty good spin out of it.

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   02/29/12 08:13

"I think since a lot of people were expecting him to lose, he's actually getting pretty good spin out of it."

Yeah, a win's a win. Plus the blowout in AZ makes it look really big for Romney. Looking around today I don't see much Romney-won-but-he-really-lost stuff. A little, but only from the die-hardiest Santorum folks.

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LMA
   02/28/12 22:24

It's too bad that Fox felt it needed to stick with a really pretty boring speech by Santorum while viewers are waiting for the more news than just the "call" of MI for Romney. Santorum is Gingrichian in this looong speech.

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Todd M
   02/28/12 22:31

Romney = McCain 2. Obama is so beatable but the RNC/GOP is not interested and they are not interested in letting Republican voters vote.

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   02/28/12 22:34

Expect more of the snob theme, eh?

That's great.

More wilful stupidity. Yup, that's just what the party needs.

Maybe Santorum's head is as dense as that piece of shale he was pounding on the podium.

And speaking of what the party needs.

What's Santorum going to do to more honestly mend his bridges after doing poisonous things like asking union democrats to vote ina republican primary to make a statement that a republican candidate is wrong to say that there should be property rights?

Making disingenuous statements like the one referred to in this post is NOT the start of mending those bridges.

So, are we now going to see Santorum and Newt bitterly crying into their beers after trying to make common cause with big labor and OWS and Michael Moore and failing?

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NHVoter
   02/28/12 22:37

He can claim that this insider attack is nothing, but it truly reinforces the fact that there is no lower life form than senator.

There is more to good leadership than compromise and taking one for the team. When you spend your whole time in Washington voting for things that you "disagree" with, how can you think that people will believe anything you say?

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Huffkep
   02/28/12 22:47

Santorum's 15 minutes as the flavor of the month over in 3...2...1

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   02/28/12 23:06

This Romney-Paul conspiracy talk is approaching tinfoil in the hats territory. Obviously, at least for anyone who isn't a Santorum fanatic, Paul want to finish second to Romney. Unlike Santorum and Newt, he knows he can't win. So his goal is to head off whoever looks likely to challenge him for second place. Paul wants influence at the convention, and therefore his enemy is not the frontrunner, but whoever is challenging the frontrunner. So, Mr. Brabender, you can take the tinfoil out of your hat, aliens are not conspiring against your candidate.

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brk20
   02/28/12 23:09

48% with 4 candidates in AZ. 41% with 4 candidates in MI. Those are powerful wins. Brabender is glib and incredulous - as Jay N said the robocalls were absolutely beyond shameless. How can a conviction politician make any such claims after debasing himself so? How can a conviction politician be so hypocritical? How can a conservative politician align himself with the UAW? Because underneath all the bluster Santorum is really none of those things. He is however arrogant, self-righteous and willing to push his personal religious beliefs on others. His only conviction is that he is sure he is right and anyone disagreeing with him is wrong. He cannot be trusted with power.

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   02/28/12 23:57

This Brabender guy is a joke. Santorum seriously needs some staff changes. He is getting very bad advice. Very amateur staff.

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   02/29/12 00:00

Sounds like they have no idea what they are doing. Rick is getting terrible advice from his strategists.

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Dogwood
   02/29/12 04:07

I loved the "snob" comment. Is there anything more tired than Obama talking about everyone "going to college?" Seems hardly a month goes by without him browbeating us about a college education. Though it usually doesn't come off as browbeating--what with the soaring rhetoric, the head tilted upward, the "promised land" imagery. And you do get the feeling they mean EVERYONE. And the thought always occurs to me, how long before they MANDATE that everyone goes to college? We know how libs and Dems work: one day they STRONGLY SUGGEST you wear your seatbelt, then they MANDATE you wear your seatbelt. You can practically see the gears turning in his brain as he speaks. Today they STRONGLY SUGGEST you go to college, tomorrow they MANDATE you go to college. Might seem far-fetched until you think of the angles: the teachers unions and educational bureaucracies, the overwhelmingly liberal professoriate, the federalized college loan system. It's a win all around for the Dems. And it's cloaked inside a shield that no one can argue with: "Education is good."

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   02/29/12 05:24

Romney carried Republicans by eleven in Michigan, according to the exits. So Santorum is going to need Operation Chaos-ing Dems to make it close in other states. I expect more of the robocalls.

Will those calls besmirch Santorum's conservative purity? Oh maybe, but the pure conservative image was mostly a mirage, anyway. It was based on comments about birth control and other way-out-there stuff. On the key economic issues Santorum is probably to the left of the typical Republican.

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   02/29/12 07:39

"We’re just calling people who consider themselves, most of the time, to be Democrats... "

Yeah, those would be actual Democrats. So, tell me again how your guy's a conservative. Answer: he isn't.

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   02/29/12 08:05

At least we get some humor. Santorum's campaign is still pushing the great Romney-Paul conspiracy. I know the Trilateral Commission is in there someplace. And Area 51.

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