Indiana state treasurer Richard Mourdock leads Senator Dick Lugar by one point according to a poll commissioned by the Mourdock campaign. Conducted between April 16 and 17 by the firm McLaughlin and Associates, the poll surveyed 400 likely Republican primary voters and found Mourdock in the lead, 42–41, against Lugar. The poll had a 4.9 percent margin of error.
Since January, Lugar’s favorability rating has fallen ten points, from 57 to 47 percent, while Mourdock’s has risen by eleven, from 35 to 46 percent. “These results clearly demonstrate that Richard Mourdock has the momentum to win,” a memo from pollsters John McLaughlin and Stuart Polk notes.
update: Andy Fisher, spokesman for Lugar, tells NRO, “Richard Mourdock will do or say anything to distract voters from the growing questions surrounding his illegal tax deductions and potential involvement in pay-to-play fundraising by DC-based interest groups. The latest independent polling shows Senator Lugar in the lead as Hoosiers continue to learn they just can’t trust Richard Mourdock.”