Michael, I think Tammy Bruce’s “Gay For Pay” line is the all-time greatest distillation of Obama’s “evolution,” but I’m not sure I share Tammy’s conviction that this is all about ensuring a revenue stream for post-presidential legacy projects and golfing vacations. Mickey Kaus has an alternative scenario:
If Barack Obama loses the 2012 election, do you think he’s going to quit elective politics, serve on a series of corporate and foundation boards, write a best-selling children’s book on being a Dad and a Lugaresque memoir describing how Fox News and Peter Orszag betrayed him? I don’t. I think he’s going to run again, Grover Cleveland style. That casts possible additional (distant) light on today’s endorsement of same-sex marriage: It may or may not help Obama in 2012. But it would much more reliably likely help him in 2016, when public opinion can be expected to have shifted further in favor of this social innovation.
It ain’t over till he’s Grover! Mickey’s not the only one living in Grover Cleveland Make-Believeland*. Aaron Goldstein:
Obama can say that the forces of darkness (i.e. opponents of gay marriage) are to blame for his defeat while patting himself on the back for his “courage” in supporting same sex marriage. It also helps to position him for a comeback in 2016 or 2020. Make no mistake. If Obama loses this fall it won’t be the last we see of him. By that time with a greater presence of voters born after 1980 chances are there will be more voters in favor of gay marriage which would give Obama an opportunity to claim he was ahead of the curve.
So, just as Grover Cleveland was the 22nd and 24th presidents, Barack Obama will be the 44th and 48th — er, 46th: It sounds crazy. But on the other hand electing a hard-left dog-eating community organizer with no executive experience sounds crazy, and somehow it happened. So why not? If Obama loses this November, the Democrats and the media and the rest of the left are not going to accept with equanimity the idea that the first black (and gay) president will be consigned to history as a failure. There will be enormous pressure for a triumphant Second Act.
On the other hand, it seems an odd thing to be actively planning at this stage in the game . . .
Meanwhile, back in the real world, life goes on: The IMF predicts that China will become the Number One economic power in 2016, so, absent a major course correction, whoever’s elected this November will end his term as the first US president not to preside over the world’s leading economy since . . . Grover Cleveland!
[*That's a Larry Hart rhyme just for Michael's benefit.]