Daniel Halper has a good piece up at The Weekly Standard about a new Siena poll showing a precipitous drop for Obama among Jewish voters. Jews are of course a liberal voting bloc, and a majority of them will vote for Obama in the fall, but this poll suggests that the margin of Jewish support will be nowhere near the 56-point edge Obama had in 2008 over McCain. The poll indicates that Jews, like other Americans, are disappointed in Obama’s performance.
These Siena numbers — which have Obama up by only 8 points among Jewish voters in New York — are noteworthy because the margin of Jewish support for Democratic candidates is an important indicator of Democratic electoral prospects, especially in key battleground states such as Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania. Partisan Democrats have dismissed many previous polls that displayed Obama weakness in the Jewish community against a generic Republican. This poll, however, had Obama only up 51–43 against a specific Republican, presumptive nominee Mitt Romney.
(Tevi Troy is an adviser to the Romney campaign.)