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Obama Ahead Nationally in New Poll



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A new CNN/ORC poll has Barack Obama at 52 percent among likely voters, and Mitt Romney trailing him by six points, at 46 percent. One big caveat: CNN didn’t release the data about the political background of those polled, so it’s unclear whether this sample’s political demographics accurately reflect who will be voting in the election. 

UPDATE: Christian Heinze notices that Romney is up among independent likely voters by 14 points, 54 percent to Obama’s 40 percent, which suggests that the sample heavily skews Democratic — particularly because 96 percent of GOP likely voters are backing Romney, and 97 percent of Democratic likely voters are backing Obama. 



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