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Re: Why Isn’t Romney Up Ten Points?



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The first column of numbers below contains the percentage of votes received by Obama in 2008 from the respective groups. The second column contains Obama’s current support from registered voters according to Gallup’s most recent three-week rolling average (August 27–September 16).  Keep in mind that registered voter polls often over-predict Democrat support.

    Men        49  –  44

Women     53  –  52

18-29        66  –  59

East          59  –  57

Midwest   54  –  49

South       45  –  42

West        57  –  48

White        43  –  40

Black        95  –  89

Hispanic  67  –  66

   Dem.     89  –  92

 Rep.        9  –  5

    Ind.       52  –  43

Republicans presently have a three-point edge in voter enthusiasm. In addition, Rasmussen’s most recent party-identification poll gives Republicans a 4.3 percentage point advantage. At the same point in the 2008 election cycle Democrats enjoyed a 5.7 percentage point advantage

Obama beat McCain by 7.2 points.

Make of the above what you will.



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