Obama Two Points Ahead

by Katrina Trinko

Two national polls out today show President Obama at 49 percent and Mitt Romney at 47 percent nationally among likely voters. In the Politico/George Washington University poll, Romney is doing well on the economy among independents:

Romney has a 14-point edge on jobs and an 11-point edge on the economy among independent voters. More than 60 percent disapprove of Obama’s handling of the economy and spending. Romney even has a slight advantage on taxes. He ties the president on who is the stronger leader and leads by 9 points on who has the best ability to get things done.

Despite this, however, Romney only has a four-point lead among independents in the poll.

In the Washington Post/ABC News poll, the partisan breakdown is unusual: 33 percent Democrat, 30 percent Republican, 33 percent independent. That poll also has Romney lagging 11 points behind in the swing states, with Obama at 52 percent to Romney at 41 percent, but I’d take that result with a grain of salt for now. As far as I can tell, the Post and ABC haven’t released the sample size of those polled in swing states, or what the margin of error is. (I have put in a request to the Washington Post for that information, so I’ll update this post if they send it to me.)