Conventional wisdom is that the longer the House delays in addressing immigration, the less likely it is that any amnesty bill will end up on the president’s desk this year because of the approach of next year’s election. (Forget about why that would be the case if amnesty is as popular with voters as the open-borders crowd claims.) This urgency is why the pro-amnesty groups are increasing pressure on Obama to simply amnesty more illegals unilaterally.
But I saw a different take yesterday, claiming that delay might actually help the amnesty-before-enforcement push:
Sarah Trumble, legislative counsel for the center-left think tank Third Way in Washington, said Syria may have sidelined immigration reform, “but that’s not actually, necessarily a bad thing.”
Trumble said the delay has bought time for some Republicans who may support reform but are worried about re-election.
Filing deadlines for potential challengers to enter primaries are fast approaching, and “for the Republicans, if they know that they’re not going to have a challenge on the right, it’ll make it a lot easier for them to support reform,” Trumble said.
I don’t know if there’s anything to this — are primary-filing deadlines really approaching in a lot of states, or is this just an advocate putting lipstick on a pig? In any case, this is precisely the scenario that causes conservatives to be suspicious of etsablishment Republicans; they’ll make “severely conservative” chirps while running, then sell out to the Left once in office. Apparently, the president and congressional Democrats are counting on a sufficient number of Republicans betraying their voters in order to get amnesty through. Good to know.