The most conventional of wisdoms in Washington is that Hillary Clinton is running for president and is the on-odds favorite to be sworn into office on January 20, 2017.
But Al Hunt, a Bloomberg View columnist with impeccable sources inside the Democratic party, says not so fast in his latest column.
Second, being a front-runner presents problems. The current structure of her nascent campaign paints a “picture of a Washington and establishment-heavy machine with inevitable and outsize factions and frictions [that] should raise caution flags. . . . A Clinton confidant worries the Hillary machine is like a huge, luxury ocean liner that has collected lots of barnacles.”
Hunt goes on to note that in 2007, Hillary she “picked the wrong people to run her campaign, and it cost her. This time, she can ill afford to repeat that mistake or have a campaign run by committee.” That is why she will need a general manager who is “versed in modern politics, who can take control and prepare for a bitter campaign.”
Hillary’s election is certainly possible. But it’s nothing like inevitable — recall Barack Obama’s success in derailing her in 2008.