Senate minority leader Mitch McConnell still maintains a comfortable lead over his primary opponent, businessman Matt Bevin. But while most polls show McConnell leading Bevin by a wide margin, the latest Rasmussen survey shows him doing better than McConnell would in a general-election matchup against Democratic challenger Alison Lundergan Grimes. (Previous polls have showed them performing similarly against her.) In a head-to-head race, Bevin leads Grimes by four points, 40 to 36 percent; McConnell is running even with Grimes, with each commanding 42 percent of the vote.
Republicans will select their nominee in a May 20 primary. McConnell remains the strong favorite in the Republican contest, but the latest poll does suggest that Bevin and his Tea Party–fueled attacks against the Senate majority leader are picking up some steam.
In the general election, President Obama is likely to drag down the Democratic nominee: Right now, 60 percent of likely voters in Kentucky disapprove of his job performance, compared with 51 percent of likely voters nationally.