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Election ’02 Flash Still More Predictions


Without the aid of exit polls, here are my Senate predictions, which I
attempt to explain here. The GOP loses in Colorado and New Hampshire (thank you, Mr. Smith). They hold on in Arkansas based on the Pryor’s nanny troubles. The GOP picks up a seat in Missouri–Talent has run a good race, and the St. Louis is having bad weather today. The GOP picks up seats in Minnesota based on a poor showing in the absentee ballots for Mondale (causing many networks to misreport the race as a Mondale win, and leading to another round of lawsuits in Minnesota). Based on recent momentum and poor Black voter turnout, the GOP will pull out the win in Georgia. Final result: GOP +1, with Coleman and Talent both taking their seats to give the Republicans the majority for the lame duck session.


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