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My prediction: Dean 30, Kerry 29, Edwards 19, Lieberman 12, Clark 9, Kucinich 1, Sharpton 0. Second prediction: No-one drops out between now and Feb. 3. Instead, every candidate looks for a state to win on Super Tuesday. Clark goes all-out in Oklahoma, Edwards in South Carolina, Kerry in Missouri or Arizona, Dean in Delaware or New Mexico. Lieberman tries to place or show in enough states so that he can survive until early March, and win Florida and New York. And because South Carolina will have a real choice among several serious candidates, the state’s blacks decide not to waste their vote on Al Charlatan, who finishes under 10%.


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