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Reader William Raftery has tallied last year’s predictions.


1. Andrew Stuttaford

Serious predictions (All of them, really) 14 out of 17. 82.35%

2. Jonah Goldberg

Serious predictions (1-6, 9, 12 & 13) 6 out of 9. 66.67%

Humor/For sake of joke predictions (I hope that’s what they were; 7, 8, 10,
11,14). 0 of 5. 0%

3. Kate O’Beirne

Serious predictions (All of them, really) 4 out of 8. 50%

4. Michael Graham

Serious predictions (1-5, 9, 14, 18, 19, 21) 4.5 out of 10. 45%

Humor/For sake of joke predictions (I hope that’s what they were; 4, 6, 7,
8, 10, 11, 12, 15, 16, 17, 20). .5 of 11. 4.55%

5. Rick Brookhiser

Serious predictions (All of them, really) 3.83 out of 10. 38.33%

6. Kathryn Jean Lopez

Serious predictions (All of them, really) 1 out of 4. 25%

7. Hugh Hewitt

Serious predictions (All of them, really) 4 out of 18. 22.22%

8. Peter Robinson

Serious predictions (All of them, really) 0 out of 2. 0%

9. Clifford D. May

Warned “Some exceedingly unlikely predictions for 2004″ and true enough,
none of them happened.
0 for a slew. 0%


I’ll provide his full breakdown to authors upon request.


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