Smash Hit
The power politics of missile defense.

By John J. Miller
March 18, 2002 8:40 a.m.

 

riday's successful missile-defense test didn't receive an enormous amount of attention from the media, and what attention it did receive was grudging. Reporters seem to like it so much better when this system, meant to protect our cities from nuclear attack, fails. The short New York Times story on the test contains a single quote: "Our concern about these tests is that the American people are getting unrealistic expectations," said Chris Madison of the Center for Arms Control and Non-Proliferation.

Instead of appreciation for an incredible technological achievement — one with enormous practical benefits in a dangerous world, by the way — there's almost a sigh of disappointment when the Pentagon shows it can "hit a bullet with a bullet," as the generals like to say. About 140 miles above the Pacific Ocean, a missile launched from the Ronald Reagan Ballistic Missile Defense Site (don't you love that?) in the Marshall Islands hit a modified Minuteman II launched from Vandenberg Air Force Base in California.

Friday's test was the sixth one in which the Pentagon tried to hit a target, and the fourth time it has succeeded. It was also the most complicated test the emerging missile-defense system has confronted: The interceptor had to distinguish between the mock warhead and three decoys (a large balloon, a small red balloon, and a small white balloon). In previous experiments, the interceptor has faced only a single countermeasure.

The missile-defense naysayers probably won't talk much about this latest success. They may say that the test wasn't hard enough, or they may suggest it was rigged. But mostly they'll hold out the perverse hope that the next test flops.

In the meantime, though, the Pentagon is showing that missile-defense technology can work consistently and in a variety of environments. That's great news for President Bush, who made missile defense a centerpiece of his campaign.

The Pentagon's Ballistic Missile Defense Organization now says it will have a rudimentary missile-defense system ready a little more than two years from now. It won't protect the United States against a massive attack from China or Russia, but it will make it impossible for a country with primitive missile technology, such as North Korea, to engage in nuclear blackmail.

There's even a target date for deployment: September 2004. Hmmm. The first time an American president can tell his country that it's safe from a nuclear power's sneak attack comes about two months before the next presidential election. Sounds like a campaign event.

 
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