I have to admit that I am scratching my bald noggin over the fact that a fair number of my fellow right-wingers are dismissing “The Pledge” as pusillanimous, lacking sufficient specificity, etc. I do not get it.
I don’t think you can get to the militant side of me when it comes to debt and spending, and my distrust for Republicans — especially congressional Republicans — is longstanding and well-documented. That being written, if a new Republican majority can, in fact, pare back spending to 2008 levels (even if it is only non-defense discretionary spending, a small part of the overall budget nightmare) and enact caps, that will be an enormous victory, a hugely significant step in the right direction. If the Class of 2010 can get that done, they will have accomplished something worthwhile — even if they do not achieve a single thing beyond that.
On Fannie and Freddie, especially, the Pledge has been criticized for a lack of clarity. I think it’s suffering more from a lack of good writing: I take “shrink their portfolio” and “end their government bailout” to mean forcing the GSEs to offload a bunch of assets as a prelude to breaking them up and fully privatizing them, withdrawing both the federal line of credit and the federal guarantee backing them. I don’t know what else those words could mean, and the Republicans I have talked to suggest that is what they have in mind.
I agree that they could have been more robust on the entitlements and that defense spending will have to be addressed. As a matter of politics, entitlement reform is going to be a long and complex fight, and difficult to summarize in a short campaign document. (And, yes, I know, call it cowardice or call it the political survival instinct, nobody is eager to grab that third rail at this moment.) As for defense spending, I think we spending hawks can, at the risk of waking the ghost of Murray Rothbard, count on the Left to make that an issue before the Republicans do. There’s a lot of room to cut at in the kingdom of Pentagonia; I suspect that the Republicans, if they are smart (I know! I know! Caveat!) will allow the Democrats to propose those and will agree to some of them as a compromise.
And the budget-process reforms look pretty smart to me.
Also: Repealing Obamacare, enacting national medical liability reform, opening up a nationwide insurance market to replace the fragmented, oligopolistic state-by-state market, better HSAs — what’s not to like?
Cutting and capping domestic spending: You guys do appreciate that this would be more than President Reagan managed on the spending front, right?
And getting that done would do a lot to repair the Republicans’ reputation on fiscal prudence, laying the groundwork for the bigger and more difficult fight over entitlements. And there is no point in passing a bold entitlement-reform bill in the next year, anyway — it would be vetoed by President Obama, and it is extremely unlikely that such a bill would command anything like a veto-proof majority.
The Obama-Reid-Pelosi gang got into trouble for doing too much too quickly: stimulus (and stimulus, and stimulus), health care, attempting cap and trade, etc. The Class of 2010 is not going to: 1. Reduce and cap non-defense discretionary spending; 2. repeal Obamacare; 3. enact free-market health-care reform; 4. fix Social Security; 5. fix Medicare; 6. fix Medicaid; 7. reform national-defense policy and, consequently, national-defense spending; 8. reform the tax code — all at once. If they manage to do 1-3 in a single Congress, conservatives should take up a collection to build a statue of John Boehner — on horseback.
– Kevin D. Williamson is deputy managing editor of National Review and author of The Politically Incorrect Guide to Socialism, to be published in January.
I don't think the Pledge is only targeted at the base. It is a Pledge to America not just the base. It should be a very effective marketing tool for Independents.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseYou see, if these silly pols applied and followed the Constitution AS WRITTEN there wouldn't be any need for these silly things called "pledges", "contracts", and whatever the Dems call their silly thing with America. Alas, we made our bed and I fear that the "pledge" will only last until the GOP begins to buckle under Obama's dishonest onslaught on them.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseMr. Williamson makes excellent points about the pledge. And let us not forget what actually happened with the Contract with America, the media did nothing but scoff at it, and yet the Republicans won congress that year. And then they pretty successfully implemented their Contract items.
(And remember term limits lovers, that was ruled unconstitutional by the SC.)
I think the main purpose of this Pledge is to serve as a documentation of the mandate Republicans can claim if (when, please the Lord) they win in November. With this document in place it will be hard to say "Nobody wanted them to do THAT".
Does it settle the conflicts with the Tea Partys, no. We'll have to see where those intra-party battles go after November, but as DorsaiGuy points out, this is not meant as a pledge to the base.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseThe next few years will determine the fate of the GOP. Will it become irrelevant and ineffective? The mindset of this country is heavily weighted toward dependency on big/expanding government. The GOP is merely a drag on that gravitational pull and is ineffective in winning the hearts and minds of citizens in changing our nation's direction toward limited government, fiscal responsibility, and constitutional integrity.
The natural forces of mathematics and common sense economics will provide punishing and catastrophic feedback to the bad idea of big government. But it will take another 4 years or so for this to work itself out.
If our nation truly is facing enormous challenges at the precipice of a cliff then our current GOP needs to be more dramatic in it's call to right thinking. This "Pledge" may be the last manifesto of the GOP and will be held accountable under great scrutiny.
If the GOP backslides then it's over for them as a party - they will be irrelevant as they are "swamped" by the overwhelming pull of the left. And a new party must arise out of it's ashes to provide a true 2 party system.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseIf the GOP fails to remember their pledge I am pretty certain those who forget will be destroyed in the GOP primaries of 2012.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseSo far the GOP senate leadership (see NRO article, "Help Joe Miller") is not coming down hard on Lisa Murkowski. Already, it makes one wonder just how 'principled' and 'tough' the GOP truly is to fight this battle.
The NRO editors ask 2 great questions:
1)"What incentive do tea-partiers have to play nice when a primary outcome goes against them?"
2)"Why would they feel loyalty to a Republican party that doesn’t take its own rules seriously?"
I ask a 3rd question:
3)"When the going gets tough (and it will), why would I expect the GOP to follow-through on it's 'Pledge' when it won't even enforce it's own primary outcomes?"
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseIf they're not ready to grab the third rail now, they never will be (for gosh sakes, Chile did it; why can't we?). Unfortunately I hold more to the pessimism of Andrew McCarthy (link below). The welfare state will not disappear and eventually, insolvency will spread from Greece to Europe and by the time it reaches us, there'll be no one left to bail us out. The last one out the door gets to gets to turn out the lights.
External Link
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseThe Pledge is missing one more important item. It should read: "We reeeelly reeeelly mean it this time."
Reply to this commentLinkReport Abuse