Next up on the bailout parade? The FHA, probably:
The Federal Housing Administration, which backs about a third of U.S. home loans, could require billions of dollars in taxpayer aid if the housing market continues to deteriorate, a Republican lawmaker said.
The agency, which provides liquidity by protecting lenders against borrower defaults, could follow in the footsteps of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the mortgage companies that were taken into government conservatorship in 2008, Representative Jeb Hensarling said at a House hearing today.
“FHA is a disaster in the making and if we don’t do something it may become the next Fannie and Freddie,” said Hensarling, the fourth-ranking House Republican. “If the FHA was a private financial institution, likely someone would be fired or fined and the institution would find itself in receivership.”
As somebody once put it: FHA is the new subprime. And whatever’s below subprime, that’s where it’s headed. Why? Congress is authorizing the FHA to up the size of the mortgages it will back from $625,500 to $729,750 (which many Republicans rightly opposed), and it’s doing the occasional near-billion-dollar deal, including building a hospital in Trenton, N.J. (Yes, you’re right, FHA stands for Federal Housing Administration, not Federal Hospital Administration. No, I couldn’t begin to guess how they justify that.)
So, a growing portfolio, increasing its risk exposure, expanding its operations: FHA must be flush with cashola, right? As it turns out . . .
Last month, an independent actuarial analysis concluded that the net worth of the fund stood a 50 percent chance of falling to zero or near zero, which could force it to seek taxpayer support for the first time.
Oops. A third of the nation’s mortgages may be insured by a fund with a net worth well below Herman Cain’s.
The Obama administration is going to spend the next week trying to convince you that today’s employment numbers are good news rather than bad news (Yes, bad news: Look at how many people left the job market). Always keep the housing market in mind when the Democrats tell you the sun is shining on the job market: What coordinates with mortgage defaults isn’t being upside-down or seeing a large drop in your home value — what coordinates is being unemployed. Housing continues to tank, and it is tanking hardest in those cities and states that had the worst reversals in the job market. Reports the Financial Times:
The worst house price falls were in those areas scarred the most by high unemployment and foreclosures. Three cities posted new lows since the first reading of the index in 2006 – Las Vegas, Atlanta and Phoenix.
“It is a bit disturbing that we saw three cities post new crisis lows. For the prior three or four months, only Las Vegas was weakening each month,” said Mr Blitzer. “Now Atlanta and Phoenix have fallen to new lows too.”
Hey, Barack Obama voters in Atlanta, Phoenix, and Las Vegas: Are you better off than you were four years ago? I think not.
But conservatives should remember to ask the follow-up question: Hey, constituents of Harry Reid, John McCain, and Saxby Chambliss: Are you better off than you were four years ago? Conservatives are focused, with good reason, on Barack Obama, but it’s Congress that writes the budgets, Congress that writes the regulations, and Congress that is going to have to take the lead in getting the economy back where it needs to be. And it’s Congress that just upped the FHA loan limits, which are now higher than Fannie Mae’s and Freddie Mac’s — something John Boehner never should have let see the light of day.
A republic, guys — not a bank, not an insurance company, not a hedge fund: a republic. If we can keep it.
You're too modest, Kevin. While I have no doubt that you couldn't begin to justify the FHA paying to build a hospital, I'm sure you could guess how they would justify it.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseIt's funny but no matter what outfit they wear these days, most of those folks look like the White Rabbit and we're Alice stuck with the over-sized bill.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseAs I have stated earlier, your first loss is your best loss. Not the second, not the third, not the fouth, fifth, sixth or seventh. This is one of the many reasons we are supposed to have a limited government, so it will be limited in the amount of damage it can cause.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseThe only possible sense I can make out of this is that it's a too-clever-by-half attempt to get some higher quality mortgages in the FHA's portfolio so that they'll have the money when the others default.
It won't work, of course, but it might succeed in kicking the can past the only date that matters to Obama, 11/3/2012.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseConservatives are focused, with good reason, on Barack Obama, but it’s Congress that writes the budgets...
Congress writes budgets? When did that happen? Did I miss a headline?
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseFine, concise, summary, although I agree with Bernie Gilbert's implication that Williamson is over-generous in in crediting Congress with actually writing a budget. Congress, or at least that branch controlled by Democrats, abdicated that responsibility several years ago.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseWe lost the last vestige of control of the limited government republic back in 1942 with the Wickard v. Filburn decision. It has been a steadily accelerating slide downhill ever since.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseReal estate values (aka middle class wealth), must be allowed to reach a level of equilibrium before the economy can start growing fast enough to ameliorate the human suffering of the past four years. Every time the government steps in, the day when price stability occurs gets pushed back. Democrats are firmly ensconced as the party of denial.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseWho, among the crop of challengers to Obama, will tell the truth about our precarious situation in a positive way?
If Ron Paul wasn't so naive about the nature of the world outside of our shores, I'd give him the best chance of getting the message out... but his ignorance of the ignorance, violence and tyranny beyond our borders leaves me fearful. Newt seems like he gets it, but he comes across as still believing too much in "scientific" government management and not in possession of enough humility to believe in fundamental, constitutional human freedom and limited government. Romney is the candidate of business as usual, but the times they are a changing and that train left the terminal a long time ago...in this age of iinsolvent sovereign states, instantaneous information distribution, and only taped delays for the immediate analysis, deconstruction and redefinition of reality, "business as usual" is a quaint anachronism.
Hey, guys, you should all move to Phoenix. We have homes at fire-sale prices. In some parts of the valley you can get a 3,000 square foot home for under $200,000. A 2,100 square foot home in Buckeye is only $85,000. Condos are dirt cheap: They can go anywhere from $30,000 to $40,000. While our unemployment rate mirrors that of the country (around 8.9%), our cost of living is pretty low. $50,000 can take a family of four a long way in this state. Please, consider moving to Phoenix, Arizona and let's make it even redder than what it is now!
Oh, and for the question of whether we're better off in Phoenix, pish, that doesn't matter! I've talked to Obama supporters who state that the economy is not his fault, it's Congress's! And as long as that Uncle Tom Herman Cain is not running for President, then we can continue to vote for the true black man, Barack Obama.
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