Wed, November 22nd - 11:40 AM
on Bloomberg: Inside the U.S. Federal Reserve headquarters, a small team is testing a forecasting program that does the work of hundreds of economists. Never before has the Fed been able to crunch in real time such a large mountain of data — as many as 150 indicators — to divine where the economy is headed.
Chairman Ben S. Bernanke is pushing the “factor model” program — so named because it reduces everything from home sales to mining capacity into a few weighted averages for making predictions. The Fed could use the help: Its gross domestic product forecasts, which influence its interest rate decisions, have missed the mark by an average of 1 percentage point since 2000….