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May 15, 2002 8:45 a.m.
Zero Sense
A dangerous trend.

aybe you missed the latest "zero tolerance" horror story. It seems that seven fourth-grade boys were suspended from school for pointing their fingers like guns during a game of "army-and-aliens" on the playground. What's worse, the school brought these boys in for questioning to see if their parents owned guns-as if that should matter. This scary little instance of bullying (bullying by school administrators, that is) was reported in a long and thoughtful article on zero-tolerance policies in Monday's Washington Times. The story was then picked up by the usual conservative suspects, at NRO's Corner, and at James Taranto's "Best of the Web." Yet eye-opening as the Washington Times article may have been about the downside of zero tolerance, the problem is likely to be ignored by the powers that rule America's school system. Why?



  

According to the Washington Times, "school officials defend zero tolerance as an unfortunate but necessary reaction to increased demands for school safety." But what if those demands are based upon an illusion? What if the dangerous trends that make parents tolerate the abuses inherent in zero-tolerance policies are nonexistent? What if school shootings are not on the rise? What if the bullying that supposedly contributes to these shootings is not pervasive? What if, in short, our zero-tolerance policies are based upon myth?

That is precisely the upshot of "Monster Hype," an important article just published in Education Next by University of Delaware professor of sociology and criminal justice, Joel Best. (Education Next, by the way, is a great journal for those interested in elementary and secondary education. It's senior editor is Chester Finn, who served in President Reagan's Department of Education and has since become one of the nation's premiere experts on education policy.)

What Best shows is that the supposed rise in school shootings is a phantom trend. School shootings are in fact declining sharply. Media stories about school shootings, on the other hand, are far more frequent than the statistics on school violence merit. In 1993, for example, there were 44 violent school deaths and about 200 news stories on school violence. In 2001, on the other hand, there were only 15 violent school deaths, but more than 450y news stories about school violence. Many of those stories include warnings about an "epidemic" of school violence that are simply not based in fact.

And keep in mind that, in addition to the declining rate of school violence, in absolute terms, the number of violent school deaths is low. For every million children who attend school, there is less than one violent school-related death per year. Only 1 percent of American school children killed by violence are hurt at school, despite the fact that they spend a large percentage of their day at school. So on a more than million to one chance that a child might be the victim of a school shooting, we are putting up with the far more widespread costs of zero-tolerance policies. Given the rate of death by car, maybe we ought to forget about suspending kids who point their fingers and say bang, and kick out children who play at driving instead.

Zero-tolerance policies are often paired with anti-bullying programs, many of which are based on statistics like one published in the April 25, 2001 issue of the Journal of the American Medical Association. That article, widely reported in the media, claimed that 30 percent of youths "reported moderate or frequent involvement in bullying." But Best shows that this survey puffed up the figures by adopting a very broad definition of bullying, and by combining the numbers of kids who were defined as bullies with those who were classified as victims. A stricter and more plausible definition of bullying, and a counting only of victims, would result in an 8 percent rate of students subjected to bullying, not 30 percent. And of the 15 violent school deaths in 2001, how many do we know were actually caused by bullying? We're obviously talking about a tie to bullying in a mere fraction of cases — in what is already a more than million to one shot of violent death at school. What then is the justification for bearing the costs of our zero-tolerance policies, other than the hysteria generated by media hype?

But maybe there's more to zero tolerance than that. Remember, a new generation of left-leaning ed-school graduates has been pushing to eliminate even games like dodgeball from the playground. Given that, it seems fairly obvious that all the hype about school shootings and bullying has turned into a convenient excuse to purge American culture of competition and spiritedness — especially boyish spiritedness. Christina Hoff Sommers has already documented the trend in The War Against Boys, and it's hard not to see the suspension of children for pointing their fingers like guns in a game of "army and aliens" as anything other than part of that war against boys.

If that's what's really motivating administrators, then mere evidence will not suffice to change their minds. But for those parents and administrators who have put up with the foolishness and injustice of zero-tolerance policies out of fear for their children's lives, Joel Best's article ought to matter. The supposed explosion of school violence and bullying at the base of our zero-tolerance policies is a lie. Maybe when that fact is known, those minds that remain open will change.

Stanley Kurtz is a research fellow at the Hoover Institution at Stanford University.

Miles Gone By

William F. Buckley Jr.'s literary autobiography

Buy it through NR

 
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