Juan Cole, a University of Michigan professor, writes:
The AEI predicted that secular ex-Baathist Ayad Allawi would win the 2005 elections
That sounded strange, not only because AEI is a collection of scholars working independently and does not make institutional predictions. Mr. Cole does not footnote, but I found one event where both Reuel and I spoke on the subject:
Juan, care to give a footnote or citation? We both warned long and hard about efforts by Iran to exploit the situation in Iraq. You remember — you dismissed those warnings.